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According to the law of entropy, what is hot is cooling down continually and irreversibly, and what is cold is tending to heat up, and the result is the progressive degradation of matter within a closed system like ours. The root cause of scarcity, and hence of economic value, lies in the degradation of energy and raw materials through entropy: the use of highly concentrated mineral resources with low entropy transforms them into high entropy matter, which is disordered and so no longer reclaimable. Like any other vital process, the economic process is irreversible.[16]
Thus the economy involves a throughput whereby low entropy
matter and energy are imported from the environment into our social and
economic
system and high entropy outputs are exported back to the environment, usually as
waste and pollution. If the entropic throughput
exceeds the inputs of low
entropy sunlight (which is the case), ultimately humans will deplete the
terrestrial stocks of low entropy
fuels (typically fossil fuels and minerals)
and exhaust the capacity of the earth to deal with waste and pollution. This
understanding
is in direct contrast to the neoclassical model of a circular or
spiral flow of exchange. This analysis sees the economy and the
environment
integrally linked, with decisions made in relation to one fundamentally
affecting the other.
Strong sustainability rejects the argument that one
must have economic growth in order to protect the environment. Underlying this
argument is the proposition that as income goes up there is increasing
environmental degradation up to a point, after which environmental
quality
improves. Arrow and others have argued that while economic growth may be
associated with improvements in some environmental
indicators, it has not been
established that economic growth is sufficient to induce environmental
improvement in general. They contend
that environmental effects of growth cannot
be ignored, and that the Earth’s resource base is not capable of
supporting indefinite
economic
growth.[17] Moreover, they argue
that the certain long-term and more dispersed pollutants such as carbon dioxide
increase with income; that the
model does not apply for resource stocks such as
soils, forests, and other ecosystems; and that it ignores system-wide
consequences
of reducing emissions, such as the impacts of pollutants being
transferred to other locations or to other media.
Where the SS position
departs from the WS position is that it considers that these ecological
constraints preclude continual economic
growth and environmental protection. It
argues for a change in the allocation of resources over time which does not
affect the overall
parameters of ecosystems; an economy that does not threaten
the stability or resilience of the system or its key components:
Sustainability does not imply a static, much less stagnant, economy, but we must be careful to distinguish between ‘growth’ and ‘development’. Economic growth, which is an increase in quantity, cannot be sustainable indefinitely on a finite planet. Economic development, which is an improvement in the quality of life without necessarily causing an increase in quality of resources consumed, may be sustainable.[18]
The ecological economists argue that natural capital must be
kept constant (or increased) and that whatever the benefits foregone,
any losses
in natural capital (in aggregate, not necessarily for each asset) are
unacceptable. Losses in natural capital must be
prevented via monitoring of
physical indicators.
The SS position is less convincing in the form of
the policy instruments suggested to attain these goals. They typically
concentrate
on the specification of property rights rather than using prices or
market valuations as policy instruments. The ecological economists
argue that
the risk of environmental harm occurring is less with property-rights systems
because of numerous problems with poor information
as well as other factors.
Thus in relation to pollution, the ecological economists propose measures such
as direct regulation, property
rights, marketable permits, subsidies and the use
of environmental bonds to ensure sustainability. While more aware of ecological
constraints, and in some aspects more theoretically advanced, their
recommendations are not all that different from those of the
London School of
environmental economists.
The VSS position is still further along the spectrum. This interpretation of
sustainable development has a number of important conceptual
premises. First, it
argues that the starting point for analysis is not the circular flow of exchange
model, but a one-way throughput
of matter and energy. Second, while markets can
determine an optimal allocation among competing uses of a resource flow, they
cannot
of themselves determine the optimal
scale.[19] Third, the evidence of
the greenhouse effect, the depletion of the ozone layer and the prevalence of
acid rain all constitute evidence
that we have already gone beyond the horizon
for the optimal scale of the macro-economy.
This position argues for a
wholesale reordering of current approaches to the economy/environment equation.
It emphasises that economic
and population growth ought to be close to zero
because of the constraint of thermodynamics and the limited influx of solar
energy.
While this steady state paradigm seeks to limit the scale of human
activities in the macro-economic sense, it still allows for
‘development’
through social preferences, community-regarding values
and generalised obligations to future generations. Thus, the VSS position
places
a premium on playing safe, so the benefits are loaded in favour of an assumption
that critical thresholds are under threat.
The fundamental problem in
actualising such a ‘steady state’ society is the forces and controls
necessary to dampen the
inputs to the social and economic system. Although
proponents of this position do not contemplate controls beyond those applied to
economic institutions, Clements argues that if such controls do go beyond the
economic sphere they could extend to economic sanctions
and educational
indoctrination and that such controls could generate extensive ‘personal
and cultural suffering’.[20]
In Australia, ecologically sustainable development (ESD) is now an accepted
principle of environmental policy. After a rather tortuous
process of
negotiation and compromise, the Commonwealth, States and Territories agreed on
the National Strategy for Ecologically Sustainable Development (the ESD
Strategy) in December 1992. At the same time, the same governments agreed to the
Intergovernmental Agreement on the Environment which incorporated ESD as
a primary policy objective.
The ESD Strategy has as its goal
‘development that improves the total quality of life, both now and in the
future, in a way
that maintains the processes on which life depends’. It
contains three core objectives:
• | to enhance individual and community wellbeing and welfare by following a path of economic development that safeguards the welfare of future generations; |
• | to provide for equity within and between generations (intergenerational equity); and |
• | to protect biological diversity and maintain essential ecological processes and life support systems. |
• | In addition, the ESD Strategy has seven guiding principles which ought to be considered in pursuing the goal of sustainable development: |
• | decision-making processes should effectively integrate both long-term and short-term economic, environmental, social and equity considerations (a form of intergenerational and intragenerational equity; |
• | where there are threats of serious or irreversible environmental damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing measures to prevent environmental degradation (the precautionary principle); |
• | the global dimension of environmental impacts of actions and policies should be recognised and considered; |
• | the need to develop a strong growing and diversified economy which can enhance the capacity for environmental protection should be considered; |
• | the need to maintain and enhance international competitiveness in an environmentally sound manner should be recognised; |
• | cost-effective and flexible policy instruments should be adopted, such as improved valuation, pricing and incentive mechanisms; and |
• | decisions and actions should provide for broad community involvement on issues which affect them. |
In the process of developing the ESD Strategy, the
Commonwealth bureaucrats greatly watered down the measures recommended by the
working
groups which were established to develop the strategy. Moreover, without
consulting the working groups, an intergovernmental steering
committee then
inserted into the ESD Strategy an explicit commitment to ‘develop a
strong, growing and diversified economy
which can enhance the capacity for
environmental protection’ and the ‘need to maintain and enhance
international competitiveness’.
The politics of these last minute
changes is a reflection of the long held belief in the benefits of economic
growth and development,
a belief which has featured prominently in modern
Australian history. The Commonwealth is committed to economic growth as it
exercises
the most control over macro-economic policy and income taxation and
thus carries the burden of discontent over unemployment, high
inflation and low
or negative growth in the economy. The States and Territories have restricted
sources of revenue and thus are constrained
and limited in their policy choice.
One area under their control with the potential for expansion is natural
resources. Thus the
States and Territories understandably become committed to
their exploitation, and consequently, generally hostile to conservation.
They
are always tempted to maximise resource throughput in the short term rather than
to husband resources for an optimal return
over time. This results in a strong,
at times authoritarian, commitment to ‘development’ at any
cost.[21] As the ESD Strategy
incorporates a commitment to continued economic growth, it clearly reflects the
weak or even the very weak sustainability
position. Moreover, the measures it
recommends are unlikely to prevent the ongoing degradation of the Australian
environment.
Evidence of this is now emerging. Picton and Daniels have
shown that while there has been a moderation or reduction in demand observed
for
some environmentally sensitive inputs, this has been more than offset by
substantial growth in others.[22]
Accordingly, they argue that there is no convincing evidence that the Australian
economy has undergone ‘ecological restructuring’.
It has been
estimated that on current trends, industrial production is likely to
approximately double between now and the year 2020
with total wastes and
emissions increasing by around 60% and material use increasing by
80%.[23] This is reflected in the
general increase in the numbers of premises required to hold licences to emit
pollution. New South Wales,
for example, generally issues 300 additional
licences under the Pollution Control Act 1970 (NSW) each
year.[24] Population and demographic
pressures are likely to increase. The Resource Assessment Commission Coastal
Zone Inquiry noted that if current demographic trends continue, then over
the next decade it can be expected that an additional 400,000 dwellings
may be
constructed in the non-metropolitan coastal
zone.[25] This will place a great
deal of pressure, in terms of resource use and disposal, in a relatively small
area and on highly sensitive
coastal and marine environments.
While
there have been many innovative and exciting recent legislative reforms,
Australia’s environmental legal framework is
still based on a weak
sustainability foundation. Pollution law has reduced pollution from point
sources, but it is proving ineffective
against mobile or diffuse sources. In
many situations, such as the urban air environment and inland rivers, these
sources are the
major problem. The legislation continues to adopt and rely on
the outdated and inappropriate concept of assimilative capacity. Each
State and
Territory now has integrated environmental protection statutes supported by
ambient standards for air and water quality.
Yet the ambient standard model was
rejected in the United States in the early 1970s as a key regulatory mechanism.
The legislation
does provide regulators with a suite of new tools to protect the
environment. Those tools include environmental auditing, environmental
improvement programs, clearer investigation and enforcement powers, higher
penalties and a wider range of remedies on conviction
(such as adverse publicity
orders). However, their effectiveness depends on the resources and capacity
provided to the administering
agencies.
Another problem with current
pollution law referred to earlier is its tendency to cause displacement or media
transfer. The transfer
of waste from rivers to sewers to the ocean via offshore
outfalls and air pollution control equipment collecting waste which then
goes to
landfill are notable examples. Moreover, there are very few laws which require
organisations to actually reduce pollution
and implement clean production,
obligations which are hardly novel concepts. Governments have preferred
education, promotion and
self-regulation to achieve these goals but their
success has been very limited.
There are some positive signs that
governments are beginning to see economic instruments as an important adjunct to
the regulatory
toolbox. Although they are not the general panacea as some
economists suggest, these instruments do have significant potential in
certain
situations.[26] With regard to
pollution, load-based licensing has emerged as a favoured approach. This system
imposes fees depending on the type
of industry, the effects of the pollutant,
the quality of the receiving environment and the degree to which the polluter
has reduced
emissions. It aims to instil the polluter pays principle and provide
an ongoing economic incentive to reduce emissions. Such a scheme
was introduced
on 1 July 1999 in New South Wales under the Protection of the Environment
Operations Act 1997. Whether the fees are high enough to provide an
incentive to implement pollution reduction remains to be seen. Other
jurisdictions,
such as the Australian Capital Territory, are looking closely at
the New South Wales model.
In the use and allocation of natural
resources, economic concepts, largely in the form of transferable property
rights, are beginning
to be used in a number of jurisdictions. Examples include
individual transferable quotas for fishery resources, carbon sequestration
in
forestry plantations, and transferable water entitlements. It is still too early
to empirically assess the effectiveness of these
innovative regulatory
mechanism, but at least at the theoretical level, they offer considerable
promise. Concerns have been raised
by some over the degree to which these tools
delegate the responsibility of the state to protect the environment for future
generations
to the market mechanism. While these economic instruments seem to
have an ‘environmental bottom line’ (such as determining
the total
allowable catch or total amount of water to be extracted), there are fundamental
political and ethical implications to
the wide adoption of these instruments,
quite apart from the lack of detailed empirical analysis of their
effectiveness.
In other areas, environmental law has much to achieve. The
loss of biological diversity, perhaps the most significant environmental
problem
in Australia, continues apace. Legislation which protects endangered species,
preserves representative ecosystems, controls
introduced species, and prevents
general land degradation is yet to be enacted in many jurisdictions. Directly
related to biodiversity
loss is the rate of clearance of native vegetation.
Legislation has not halted the increase, let alone reversed, the rate of land
clearing across the nation. While South Australia has achieved significant
outcomes with its Native Vegetation Act 1991 (SA), other jurisdictions,
particularly New South Wales and Queensland have yet to impede the
bulldozer’s path.
In many respects, Australian environmental law
is passing through its second stage. The first stage was in the late 1960s and
early
1970s which saw a wave of legislation relating to pollution and
environmental impact assessment. Now nearly all of this has been,
or is about to
be, repealed and replaced by more detailed and comprehensive statutes. The early
gains were relatively easy, but the
present problems are harder to solve. In my
view, the second stage legislation will still not be enough to ensure a
sustainable future.
What directions should our laws then take?
The continuing decline in many environmental indicators suggests that a
fundamental reappraisal of current approaches is required
if sustainability is
to be achieved. At the macro-level, it is arguable that the strong
sustainability position offers the most promise
as a philosophical basis from
which to construct a policy framework. This position would require a concerted
attempt at defining
sustainable population goals and identifying and maximising
appropriate forms of economic ‘development’ as opposed to
economic
growth per se. This would require detailed analysis of current policies dealing
with energy, transport, agriculture, resource
use and extraction and so on and
assessing their impacts on sustainability within the strong sustainability
paradigm. Policies would
then have to be modified accordingly, on a
whole-of-government basis. Another aspect of macro-level policy choice is the
use of the
tax system to achieve environmental outcomes. The concept of
ecological tax reform,[27] well
developed in Europe, has yet to achieve any status at the political level in
Australia. Many see the recent changes to the tax
system as a chance gone
wasted.
It is obvious that to confront the reality that current policies
are not truly ecologically sustainable and to respond appropriately
is a
formidable and difficult task. Few governments, if any, have made significant
progress. Yet the evidence is that unless such
issues are debated, defined and
appropriate targets achieved, environmental policy will remain as window
dressing. All it may do
is slow down the inevitable environmental degradation.
For example, there is clear evidence that current efforts to control air
pollution
and diffuse source water pollution will be more than offset by
population growth and by increases in the overall level of consumption.
Assuming for the moment that appropriate maco-level policies are in
place, what direction should Australia’s current environmental
regulation
take? Because of our limited understanding of ecology and the limits of the laws
of thermodynamics, environmental policy
requires a more precautionary approach
to the interaction of the economy and the environment. Precaution and prevention
need to be
institutionalised, such that decisions which have the potential to
harm ecosystems cannot be made without considering ways to prevent
that harm.
One of Australia’s most influential ecological economists argues that the
precautionary principle requires:
• | subjecting projects to intergenerational impact assessment; |
• | developing national and regional biological diversity objectives; |
• | providing community consultation and education; |
• | setting safe minimum standards; |
• | amending monetary, taxation and other macro-economic policies; |
• | extending markets to recognise the importance of ecological functions; |
• | pursuing waste minimising and resource conserving strategies; |
• | shifting the burden of responsibility and proof to the polluter or developer; |
• | improving resource pricing to reflect the full cost of environmental harm (the polluter pays principle); and |
• | monitoring progress through state of the environment reports.[28] |
Others would suggest that even stronger measures are
required, particularly in relation to biological diversity, greenhouse gas
emissions
and endangered species. One approach that ought to be rejected is
increasing voluntary and non-regulatory measures. Such measures
have not been
very successful. For example, the Australia State of the Environment Report
1996 found that while Landcare has been successful in enlisting community
support for the sustainable use of resources, the effectiveness
of voluntary
measures relating to revegetation and farm forestry, broadacre soil conservation
and fertiliser management, vegetation
clearance, tree planting, streambank
stabilisation, and other catchment management and Landcare programs has been
poor.[29]
Regulatory policy
needs to adopt a holistic approach to the management of ecosystems. As the
Australia State of the Environment Report 1996 noted, there is little
likelihood of a coherent policy emerging from the traditional compartmentalised
approach in which different
departments or different levels of government each
handle different, small parts of the problem.
There is a need too for
our frameworks to be sufficiently flexible to allow for policy experimentation,
close attention to particular
situations, and learning from experience. The need
for this adaptive management approach comes from recent ecological research, the
results of which emphasise the role of interaction between and within natural
systems.[30] Thus the species
composition of a river, for example, may be influenced by the clearance of
native vegetation which induces higher
rates of soil erosion and sediment inflow
to the river and the amount of shading of the river from overhanging trees.
In relation to pollution, Australia needs to adopt and implement
strategies that entail the progressive reduction (in both volume
and
concentration) of the wastes discharged to the environment. This will foster the
identification and development of life-cycle
approaches to product design,
creation, use and disposal, the development of new products, markets and uses
for wastes discharged.
The goal should be a zero discharge of most industrial
and all toxic and hazardous wastes, implemented in stages through licensing
and
agreements, with priority given to the most harmful pollutants. For less harmful
pollutants, rather than zero discharge, emissions
should be reduced to the point
that such reductions do not increase environmental burdens elsewhere in other
media. For diffuse sources,
the goal should be to implement strategies which
reduce the contribution of these sources to a few per cent above natural inputs.
These targets, naturally, cannot be achieved immediately or be required in time
frames that cause severe dislocation to industry,
regulators and the community.
By clearly articulating such goals in legislation and requiring the development
and implementation
of pollution reduction plans over specified periods,
reductions should be achievable.
Finally, it is vital to recognise that
the community has an important role in the management of ecosystems. This is
because legislative
goals such as ecologically sustainable development,
protecting the health, integrity or biological diversity of the environment are
normative terms embodying certain values. If environment protection agencies are
legally bound to protect these values, the values
by themselves do not provide
any specific guidance to decision making. They require the consideration not
only of ‘scientific’
criteria, but also the values and needs of the
relevant community, especially indigenous communities. This poses a challenge to
scientists
who often believe that the best option ‘is understood as one
being selected on a scientific basis, using scientific criteria’
which
‘should be objective and ought to be universally
applicable’.[31] This view,
called ‘technological determinism’, implies that only those
technically qualified can understand and hence
delineate the actual constraints.
By implication they should be in control of decision making. This
ignores the normative values implicit in such judgments. However, by recognising
the role of public participation, the ecosystem
management approach seeks to
include non-technical values in decision-making processes. Of particular
importance in this regard is
the incorporation of indigenous Australians into
the processes and institutions for environmental protection.
References
[1] See Commonwealth of Australia,
Australia State of the Environment 1996, CSIRO Publishing, Canberra,
1996; New South Wales Environment Protection Authority, State of the
Environment Report 1997, NSW EPA, Sydney,
1997.
[2] Leopold, A., A Sand
County Almanac, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1949, reprinted in 1968;
Naess, A. ‘The Shallow and the Deep, Long Range Ecology Movement.
A
Summary’, (1973) 16 Inquiry
95.
[3] World Commission on
Environment and Development, Our Common Future, Australian Edition,
Oxford University Press, 1987,
p.84.
[4] See Commonwealth of
Australia, National Strategy for Ecologically Sustainable Development,
AGPS, Canberra, 1992. The prefix ‘ecologically’ has been widely used
primarily to clarify that ‘sustainable’
does not refer to
sustainable economic
development.
[5] See Commonwealth
of Australia above, ref 4, p.8.
[6]
See for example s.6(2) Protection of the Environment Administration Act
1991 (NSW) and s.10(b)(iv) Environment Protection Act 1993 (SA).
Other statutes refer generally to the principles of ecologically sustainable
development, see for example s.3(b) Coastal Protection and Management Act
1995 (Qld).
[7] See Harding, R.
and Fisher, L., ‘The Precautionary Principle in Australia’, in
O’Riordan, T. and Cameron, J. (eds),
Interpreting the Precautionary
Principle, Earthscan, London, 1994, pp.252-61, at p.255; Rothwell, D.R. and
Boer, B., ‘From the Franklin to Berlin: The Internationalisation
of
Australian Environmental Law and Policy’[1995] SydLawRw 17; , (1995) 17 Sydney Law Review
242; Bates, G., ‘Implementing Sustainability’, (1994) 11(4)
EPLJ 251.
[8] Unreported,
Land and Environment Court of New South Wales, 1026/92, 10041/93, Stewart, A.,
23 July 1993. The applicant appealed this
decision, but that appeal was
dismissed, see Simpson and Anor v Ballina Shire Council (1994)
unreported, Pearlman J, No 10206 of
1992.
[9] (1994) ELR
060.
[10] (1994) 84 LGERA
397.
[11] (1994) 84 LGERA 397, at
419.
[12] Commonwealth of
Australia, above, ref 1,
p.ES-8.
[13] Turner, R. K.,
‘Sustainability: Principles and Practice’, in Turner, R.K. (ed),
Sustainable Environmental Economics and Management: Principles and
Practice, Belhaven Press, London and New York, 1993,
pp.3-15.
[14] See for example
Pearce, D.W. and Turner, R.K., Economics of Natural Resources and the
Environment, Earthscan, London, 1994; Klassen, G.K. and Opschoor, J.B.,
‘Economics of Sustainability and the Sustainability of Economics:
Different Paradigms’, (1990) 4 Ecological Economics 93; Pearce,
D.W. and Warford, J.J., World Without End: Economics, Environment and
Sustainable Development, Oxford University Press, Oxford,
1993.
[15] The first law of
thermodynamics provides that matter and energy is neither created nor destroyed,
it is merely rearranged. The second
law provides that there is a universal
tendency for entropy to increase, to move from a state of order to
disorder.
[16] Georgescu-Roegen,
N., quoted in Ravaioli, C., Economists and the Environment, Zed Books,
London, 1995, pp.54-5.
[17] See
Arrow, K., Bolin, K., Costanza, R., Dasgupta, P., Folke, C., Holling, C.S.,
Jansson, B-O., Levin, S., Mäler, K-G., Perrings,
C. and Pimmentel, D.,
‘Economic Growth, Carrying Capacity, and the Environment’, (1995)
268 Science 520, reprinted in (1995) 15 Ecological Economics
91.
[18] Costanza, R., Daly, H.
E. and Bartholomew, J. A., ‘Goals, Agenda, and Policy Recommendations for
Ecological Economics’,
in Costanza, R. (ed), Ecological Economics: the
Science and Management of Sustainability, Columbia University Press, New
York, 1991, p.7.
[19] Daly, H.,
‘Steady State Growth Concepts for the Next Century’ in Archibugi, F.
and Nijkamp, P. (eds), Economy and Ecology: Towards Sustainable
Development, Kluwer Academic Publishers, London, 1989, pp.73-87; Daly, H.E.,
Steady State Economics,Earthscan, London,
1992.
[20] Clements, C.,
‘Stasis: The Unnatural Value’, in Elliot, R. (ed), Environmental
Ethics, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1995,
pp.223-4.
[21] Walker, K.,
‘Conclusion’, in K. Walker. (ed), Australian Environmental
Policy, (1992), New South Wales University Press, Sydney,
p.240.
[22] Picton, T. and
Daniels, P., ‘Ecological Restructuring and the Australian Economy’,
(1998) 5(4) AJEM 200.
[23]
Hamilton, C., Hundloe, T. and Quiggin, J., Ecological Tax Reform in Australia,
Using Taxes, Charges and Public Spending to Protect
the Environment without
Hurting the Economy, Australia Institute, Discussion Paper No 10, Canberra,
1997, p.30.
[24] See Environment
Protection Authority of New South Wales, Annual Report 1993-94, Sydney,
p.41; Environment Protection Authority of New South Wales, Annual Report
1994-95, Sydney, p.44; Environment Protection Authority of New South Wales,
Annual Report 1995-96, Sydney,
p.44.
[25] Resource Assessment
Commission, Coastal Zone Inquiry Final Report, AGPS, Canberra, 1993,
p.46.
[26] Brunton, N.,
‘Economic Instruments for Water Pollution Control: The Australian
Experience’, (1999) 6(1) AJEM
21-31.
[27] Hamilton, C.,
Hundloe, T. and Quiggin, J.,
above.
[28] Young, M.D., For Our
Children’s Children: Some Practical Implications of Intergenerational
Equity, the Precautionary Principle,
Maintenance of Natural Capital, and the
Discount Rate, AMNRS Programme Division for Wildlife and Ecology, CSIRO, Working
Document
93/5, 1993, p.13.
[29]
Commonwealth of Australia, Australia State of the Environment 1996, CSIRO
Publishing, Canberra, 1996, Table 7-14 Summary,
pp.7-44.
[30] Commonwealth of
Australia, above, ref 30,
p.289.
[31] Kullenberg, G.,
‘Summary of Workshop’, in G. Kullenberg (ed), The Role of the
Oceans as a Waste Disposal Option, Reidal Publishing Co, 1986, p.701.
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