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University of New South Wales Faculty of Law Research Series |
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Last Updated: 5 May 2008
THE PROLIFERATION OF FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS:
BANE OR BEAUTY?
By
Leon E. Trakman[∗]
Journal of World Trade (2008), vol. 42, forthcoming
ABSTRACT
This essay explores the policy foundations behind regional and bilateral trade agreements and their application in practice. Critically examining the arguments in support of them, it highlights the virtues and deficiencies of each. It concludes by arguing that international standards should be developed to guide the development of bilateral trade agreements in the future.
The proliferation of bilateral trade agreements has helped to fill a gap in a multilateral trade process that is impeded by the impasse of negotiations in the World Trade Organization [WTO].[1] At the same time, the development of bilateral trade agreements arguably has discouraged some states from engaging in multilateral negotiations.[2] The result is a new genre of trade relations in which bilateral and regional mechanisms are increasingly adopted in substitution for multilateral trade processes.[3] While, bilateral trade agreements diverge significantly in their form and substance, they are having an important, albeit disparate impact upon multilateral trade.[4]
This article examines different arguments for asserting that bilateral trade agreements have advanced multilateral trade relations. It poses a variety of questions. To what extent is the development of bilateral trade agreements founded on sound trade principles?[5] Have bilateral trade agreements added value to or detracted from the perceived needs of multilateral trade? Are states subject to suitable guidelines in negotiating bilateral agreements? To what extent are states subject to obligations to redress the practices of recalcitrant states, such as by resort to trade boycotts and other sanctions, in responding to violations of the law governing international trade?[6]
Overriding all these questions is a potential tension between policies over
the liberalization of trade. One policy is grounded in
principles of laissez
faire: that states should be comparatively unchecked in concluding bilateral
trade agreements in the interests of promoting the unchecked
exchange of goods
and services. Another policy holds that states are bound to respect their
bilateral agreements and that violating
them ought to lead to the censuring of
offending states. In support of this latter policy is the claim that states
that consent
to bilateral agreements both surrender their sovereignty and
territoriality bilaterally and subject themselves to international standards
of
compliance not limited to those embodied in the GATT and its WTO
successor.[7]
The
first two sections of this essay evaluate the reasoning behind the
liberalization of trade and the assumptions in favor of bilateral
trade
agreements. The third section critically evaluates different arguments in favor
of negotiating and concluding bilateral trade
agreements. The fourth section
proposes legal principles and standards to guide the application of bilateral
free trade agreements
in the Twenty First
Century.[8]
I. A Liberalized Trade Philosophy
The post Second World War era has heralded two significant developments: a commitment by nation states to reduce barriers to trade and an effort to establish principles and guidelines for the free flow of goods and services across national boundaries.[9] The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) sought to unify multilateral trade practice through a pervasive, transparent and commonly understood set of principles directed at harmonizing trade practice and maximizing cooperation in the global interest.[10] Despite these developments, the liberalization of trade has fallen short of a resounding success. Trade protectionism that marked the era prior to the Second World War has remained a serious impediment to liberalized trade, along with disparities in the power of trading states and the more recent fragmentation of trade along regional and now bilateral lines.[11] While the GATT purported to incorporate within it both bilateral and regional trade practices on grounds that they furthered multilateralism, bilateralism has chipped away at the development of global principles of trade that some viewed as unduly protective of the trading interests of developed states.[12]
Against this background, the tension between bilateralism and multilateralism has re-arisen with a vengeance as states have repeatedly failed to reach multilateral accord on account of their conflicting domestic interests.[13] A by-product of this tension has been the growth of bilateral agreements between selected trade partners on mutually satisfying terms. The result of this by-product has been applauded by those who favor bilateralism, [14] but a source of concern for those who worry about lost opportunities for the multilateral trade process.[15]
II. Multilateralism Includes Bilateralism
Despite the inevitable tension between bilateral and multilateral trade interests, international instruments historically have tried to reconcile them. In particular, the GATT sought to do so as a matter of both policy and practice.[16] Article XXIV of the GATT specifically endorsed customs unions and free-trade agreements between members, noting that
The contracting parties recognize the desirability of increasing freedom of trade by the development, through voluntary agreements, of closer integration between the economies of [those] countries.[17]
The rationale behind the GATT’s endorsement of regional and bilateral trade agreements was that, by reducing trade barriers between two or more members, the presupposed net result was the enhancement of global trade.[18] The inferred result was a growth in total global trade arising from the accretion of a series of profitable regional and bilateral agreements that exceeded their net cost.[19]
Whether or not the assumptions in Article XXIV are correct depends on a careful scrutiny of the assumptions behind the argument favoring regional and bilateral trade, and an assessment of those arguments in trade practice.[20] What follows is a reflection on the rationale for bilateral trade agreements, followed by a step by step argument in favor of or supporting them. The intention is not to gainsay either the principles or the arguments behind Article XXIV of the GATT, but to apply them to conventional trade practice.
i. Assumptions behind Liberalized Trade
The liberalization of trade along bilateral lines is grounded in a set of interrelated political and economic assumptions. The first is that the liberalization of trade law is most effective when states reduce barriers to trade including through bilateral agreements, when buyers and sellers have greater freedom to transaction within regional and bilateral free trade zones, and when the cost and prices of goods and services are reduced as a result of lower economies of scale in the production, distribution and sale of such goods and services within such regional or bilateral markets.[21] A second and related assumption is that trade is more effectively liberalized when barriers to the supply of goods and services between particular states are effectively reduced, including bilateral agreements have such an effect.[22] . A third assumption is that bilateral trade agreements that reduce barriers to trade between specific parties ordinarily liberalize trade multilaterally as well.[23] A fourth qualifying assumption is that bilateral agreements that benefit global trade when the benefit of trade expansion between the bilateral parties more than offsets the loss of trade to other states that are not parties to those agreements.[24] A fifth assumption is that liberalized trade can and should has a positive distributive effect, namely, that part of the wealth produced by trade liberalization can and should be distributed by bilateral trade partners to those of their subjects who are in the greatest need.[25]
These assumptions are best tested in light of the principles underlying global trade and in particular, in their application to trade relationships among states engaged in bilateral, regional and multilateral trade.
ii. Principled Grounds for Trade Liberalization
The renewed interest in bilateral trade is grounded in the interrelated principles of democratic liberalism[26] and economic rationality.[27] Democratic liberalism infers that states ought to empower their subjects to engage in the free flow of goods and services across national boundaries as their entitlement. Such freedom within a liberal democracy includes the right of individuals to profit from state sponsored trade including bilateral trade. States that liberalize trade bilaterally are also economically rational insofar as they seek to reduce barriers to the free flow of goods and services between bilateral parties, thereby rendering that trade more profitable for the benefit of the parties and their subjects.[28] To these principles is added a controversial third principle of equitable treatment, namely that a by-product of the liberalization of trade between states is the promotion of “fairer trade.”[29] Fairer trade connotes a more level playing field of equal opportunity, as when bilateral trade agreements benefit the subjects of such treaties through “preferred” or “most favored nation” treatment. Fairer trade is also economically rational in helping to promotes future trade between parties who are more equal.[30]
These assumptions are at best generalizations. However much bilateralism may lead to expanded trade, the process of bilateral agreement is inherently selective and exclusionary in its inception, application and operation. However rational states may appear to be and however much they propose to liberalize trade practices bilaterally, they are also rational in acting in their self-interest. Self-interest, in turn, sometimes supports decisions to act inequitably, to restrict trade bilaterally, and to grant access to trade benefits of trade selectively only.[31]
Nevertheless, bilateralism does have a wide appeal. Most states desire to promote economic development, to expand the production, supply, sale and consumption of goods and services, and to render trade across national boundaries more cost effective and ultimately more profitable. Insofar as bilateral trade furthers these objectives, one would expect states to support them.[32] One would also expect states to act “rationally” in seeking the economic good of other states consistent with furthering their own good.[33] One would also assume that most states would support the “invisible hand” of a free market of rational actors in which bilateral agreements reduce barriers to trade, lower the costs of goods and services, and help to promote higher standards of living in partner states.[34]
iii. Perceived Benefits of Bilateralism
Bilateral trade agreements are by their nature, reciprocal, consensual and inclusive of the parties while being exclusionary of non-parties. As a matter of practice, however, they are also internally different from one another. Some are seemingly all encompassing in their liberalization of trade.[35] Others are distinctly protectionist.[36] Some set clear shields around sensitive industries like education, the media and healthcare.[37] Others do so generically through open-ended protection of “the national interest.”[38] Some bilateral trade agreements resemble treaties of friendship more than instruments of trade liberalization. Others are preoccupied with the full-on trade liberalization.[39] Against such a background of difference,[40] one ought not to expect bilateral agreements to represent comparable patterns of reciprocity, inclusiveness for the parties to such agreements and exclusion for non-parties.[41]
Nor should one expect bilateral trade practice to follow a consistent pathway. For example, China’s interest in bilateral trade has changed with its accession to global markets for exports;[42] yet its bilateral interests remain carefully counterbalanced by its historical interest in restricting trade that threatens its vulnerable rural economy.[43] Similarly, bilateral trade practices respond differently to the shifting powers of specific trading blocs like the Economic Union [EU] and the North American Free Trade Agreement [NAFTA].[44] Bilateral trade practice also varies with the practices of particular trading hubs, such as in Hong Kong and Singapore as each seeks to liberalized trade in its own distinctive way.[45]
Whatever the rhetoric -- that bilateral trade agreements are used to liberalize trade and also to protect selected industries from competition – most states recognize that the benefits of bilateral trade is variable at best. Generalizations have their place in underscoring the perceived benefits and disadvantages of free trade zones, such as for the EU or the NAFTA. However, generalizations include exceptions; and exceptions all too often disprove the rule.
It is against the background of exceptions that the benefit of bilateral trade should be measured. However similar many bilateral agreements may appear to be, they assuredly satisfy similar economic interests differently and different interests similarly.[46] However specific their benefits may be for the bilateral partners, their more pervasive benefits for the multilateral trade community depends upon the social, economic, political and legal circumstances in which they arise and to which they are applied.[47] Ascertaining such benefits will be a question of fact that requires moving from generalizations about the economic rationality of bilateral trade to determining how they produce actual benefits in practice. It also demands moving from the idealized belief that trade liberalization is “good” in itself to demonstrating how bilateral trade agreements leads to that “good” in fact.
In determining the “good” of bilateral agreements, it is fitting to evaluate specific challenges to bilateral trade, institutionalized responses to those challenges, and the manner in which those responses have impacted on trade practice.
iv. Challenges to Bilateral Trade Relationships
The conduct of bilateral trade is often presented in its historical context, namely, as a victory for globalization -- more pervasive, effective, reliable and predictable trade relations than in centuries past.[48] Starkly presented, modern bilateral trade agreements are concluded in more stable times: they are not threatened by the acts of privateers who sail the oceans ravaging and plundering the wealth of targeted states. Despite this rhetoric, however, conventional bilateral agreements function within a multilateral trade environment that is fraught with the risks of an inventive modern piracy, including acts of state expropriation and confiscation,[49] or less directly but equally profitably, state sanctioned infringements of intellectual property rights.[50]
A further challenge to the effective, reliable and predictable conduct of bilateral trade is in the muting of legal sanctions against recalcitrant states. Nor only are recalcitrant states sometimes corrupt or at least inefficient in concluding, interpreting and applying regional or bilateral agreements.[51] Otherwise compliant states resist sanctioning such recalcitrance, not least of all to protect their trade relationships or by reason of their own trade protectionism.[52] The result is that, however seemingly efficient bilateral trade agreements might seem to be, they are subject to subversion, as when they exclude redress for anticompetitive practices, or where such provisions are included in bilateral agreements but are not enforced. The practical reality, too, is that identifying and isolating instances of bad state practice is often difficult when recalcitrant states hide their deceptive practices behind the veil of state sovereignty, while partner states condone those practices by acquiescence.[53]
Finally, any attempt to ensure that bilateral and regional trade agreements are applied in a manner that promotes “good” practice raises, not only the question of what constitutes “bad practice”, but how to deal with “bad” practice in fact. For one thing, Article XXIV of the GATT is difficult to enforce because it requires consensus among states to establish principles and guidelines to deal with dubious trade practices.[54] For another thing, the multilateral community may avoid imposing sanctions because the cost of imposing compliance may be perceived to be greater than the benefit.[55] The result may well be that trade sanctions, available or not, will not be invoked. Worse still, they may be ineffective in stemming “bad” practice by recalcitrant states that are willing to endure trade sanctions and boycotts rather than change the way they do business. The stark reality is that, however much bilateral trade agreements may include provisions that condemn “bad” trade practice, those provisions may be comparatively meaningless if they cannot be enforced.
v. Institutionalized Responses
An idealized response to “bad” state
practice is to invoke institutional trade remedies to deal with allegedly
illegal
trade action. For example, a global response is to rely on the
sanctioning force of the WTO. A regional response is to draw on
the agreements
and practices that bind the European Union
(EU),[56]ASEAN in the
Asia Pacific,[57] and
the NAFTA in North
America.[5] A
bilateral response to “bad” state practice is to draw on trade
sanctions within bilateral trade
agreements.[59]
However, one should not over-emphasize either the authority or the
consistency of these institutional responses. Firstly, institutions
diverge in
their responses to aberrant state practice as the institutions themselves
change. For example, far from being fixed in
its responses to aberrant state
conduct, the global response of the multilateral community has varied markedly
from the 1947 General
Agreement of Tariffs and Trade (GATT), to the
WTO,[60] and from the
Uruguay Round in 1994 to Seattle in 1999 to Doha in 2001 to Cancún in
2003 and to Hong Kong in
2005.[61] Regional
and bilateral responses to dubious state practices are subject to mass-political
change, such as arose out of the democratization
of Eastern Europe and
China’s entry to the
WTO.[62] They are
susceptible to gradualism, too, such as to China’s gradual realignment of
political-economic relations within its
neighborhood[63] and
at a more micro level, to trading hubs like Singapore imbedding themselves as
trading gateways between East and
West.[64]
Nor is it suggested that this realignment of bilateral trade relationships constitutes an insidious plot to shield “bad” practice by states. Using bilateral agreements to support unlawful activity is one thing. States that use bilateral agreements to legitimate self-interested practices that are legitimate is another. However much the multilateral community would like to reduce protectionist tariffs, developing states are likely to invoke bilateral agreements to expand their exports while also protecting their vulnerable agricultural industries.[65] The negotiation of selective trade barriers is not per se bad; nor is it akin to unfettered trade reductionism. What is “bad” is the capacity of states to act in flagrant disregard of international instruments and to try to shield themselves from sanction through the protective shield of bilateral agreements.
vi. Bias in favor of Developed States
It is true that bilateral trade is not conducted on a perfectly level playing field. Some states enjoy a competitive “wealth” advantage over others; sometimes success on the bilateral stage is tinged with a mixture of privilege and opportunism.[66]
On occasions, developing states find themselves in an awkward position. They feel compelled to condemn bilateral trade agreements as favoring developed states, while at the same time anxiously trying to conclude bilateral agreements with developed states they otherwise would condemn. In trying to win the confidence of international capital markets, some developing states also risk foregoing sensible domestic economic policies in favor of perverse ones.[67] A real hazard is that wealthy developed states may exploit the vulnerabilities of developing states by extracting excessive trade concessions that developing states can ill afford to sustain over the longer term.
Against this background, opponents of bilateral trade agreements worry that bilateral agreements, however well intended, will fail to redress social deprivation and human rights abuse in developing states; and also that developed states will turn a blind eye to such excesses.[68] A pervasive concern is that, far from liberalizing trade, selectivity in bilateral trade may expand upon the already formidable wealth gap between developing and developed states, institutionalizing the trading advantages of the latter.[69] Coupled with this is the threat of perpetuating of a systemic bias in favor of developed states and further marginalizing the competitive hardships faced by developing states.[70]
Added to these risks is the reality that developing states may lack the
economic infrastructure to become attractive trade partners
for developed
states.[71] . For
example, developing states may feel compelled to comply with international trade
standards, such as in relation to labor and
the environment, without being able
to afford the cost of such compliance. Typifying this problem, Christian aid
agencies claim
that the cost of trade to Sub-Saharan Africa comes at the price
of US$272 billion in compliance with international standards, in
aid, loans and
debt relief. The argument is such money could have been better spent elsewhere,
vaccinating children and providing
schooling, shelter and health
care.[72] A related
concern is that, rather than improve standards of living in developing states,
those standards will deteriorate further
as developing states attempt to comply
with international standards in order to attract bilateral trade
partners.[73]
Certainly developing states are not legally obliged to agree to terms and
conditions in bilateral agreements that accentuate their
economic, social and
political disadvantages. They are free to decline to contract if doing so does
not promote their
self-interest.[74]
Nor are developing states without a legal remedy if the agreements they conclude
are violated.[75]
However, as a practical matter bilateral trade agreements sometimes resemble
adhesion contracts. Powerful states are in the position
to dictate the terms of
such trade agreements, and weaker stands must either adhere to them or sacrifice
all benefits associated
with bilateral
trade.[76]
III. The Case for Bilateral Trade
The case for bilateral trade is grounded on a series of general and specific arguments. What follows is a brief articulation of each, followed by a critical analysis.
i. More is better than less
The most simplistic argument in favor of bilateral trade agreements is that, all other things being equal, bilateral trade agreements lead to there being more, and that having more is better than having less. States and their subjects that have more can buy and sell more. They can improve standards of living among their populace. They can extend economic benefits like social services, health care and education to the less fortunate. Having more allows them to share more.[77]
There are several problems with this analysis. Firstly, bilateral agreements can cause trade to contract, not expand. This occurs when the net creation of trade arising from bilateral agreements is more than offset by the net diversion of trade away from non-parties.[78] Secondly, rather than lead to more, bilateral agreements can produce negative trade distortions, as when trade in agricultural is diverted from developing to developed states.[79] Thirdly, bilateral agreements may lead to there being more, but not necessarily better results. For example, they may produce greater wealth, but lead to less social justice when developing states decline to provide social services and developed states avoid interfering.[80] As the history of colonialism has portrayed, the independence to ex-colonies has not necessarily led either to mass economic development or to sustained social reform in the developing world.[81] Fourthly, the wealth derived from there being more trade may be closely held. For example, corporations may distribute little if any of their increased profits from bilateral trade, other than to their shareholders.[82] The net result may be the absence of any increase in aggregate trade benefits or social services arising out of having more.[83]
ii. Bilateral Trade Agreements Fill Gaps in the Multilateral Process
A simplistic argument favoring bilateral trade is grounded in arithmetic logic. All other factors being constant, bilateral trade negotiation involving a few parties with reconcilable interests is more likely to lead to the liberalization of trade between those parties than multilateral agreements involving multiple parties with diverse interests that cannot easily be reconciled.[84] Instead of requiring the consent of around 150 states with diverse and often conflicting cultural, social, economic and political priorities, bilateral negotiations allow fewer states with fewer differences to reach common ground.[85]
This seemingly compelling logic is not really compelling at all because it addressing only the greater likelihood of states reaching bilateral rather than multilateral agreements, it does not address the quality of the bilateral agreements actually concluded. Indeed, a bilateral trade agreement may provide few tangible benefits for one or even both parties, and certainly may disadvantage non-parties more it benefits the parties.[86] The negotiation of bilateral agreements may disadvantage parties that negotiate more effectively in larger groups, particularly in dealing with powerful economic blocks like the EU.[87] They may also disadvantage developing states that depend on block support in order to secure trading concessions from developed states generally.[88]
The conclusion might be that, all other factors being constant, bilateral trade often are better able to satisfy the immediate interests of parties than multilateral agreements. Whether the economic and social benefit of these bilateral agreements extends to the multilateral community at large is, at best, conjectural.[89]
iii. Bilateral Agreements Can Enrich Multilateral Trade
A further arithmetic argument favoring bilateral agreements is that the cumulative benefits of a plethora of bilateral agreements constitutes a net gain for the global economy.[90] Illustrating this benefit is the observation that a series of individually negotiated bilateral agreements can overcome obstacles to concluding multilateral trade agreements, such as arise in regard to complex issues relating to customs traffic, the environment, labor and electronic trade.[91]
Certainly it is worthwhile to analyze trade agreements in order to identify how their reduction in barriers to trade between particular parties can be replicated among other states. As Daniel Griswald has argued, “FTAs can provide useful templates for broader negotiations.”[92] The problem is that, absent the capacity to measure the results of such a rationale, it remains speculative at best. To conclude that bilateral agreements that liberalize trade between particular states will encourage other states to follow suit may be inspirational, but it need not lead to concrete results.
iv. Bilateral agreements can consolidate regional economies
A related argument is that bilateral trade agreements not only consolidate the economies of the parties; they also lead to the more efficient production, finance, transportation and supply of goods and services.[93] Illustrating the efficiencies arising from such consolidation are regional agreements such as under the NAFTA,[94] and bilateral agreements between a superpower like the United States and its trade partners in Latin America, Europe, Africa, Asia and the Middle East.[95]
There is also ample evidence of the success arising out of such regional integration, including a lengthy literature that lauds the economic growth of the EU[96] and also the NAFTA.[97] There is also a more recent but less pervasive history of economic integration arising from bilateral trade agreements as well.[98]
However, determining whether and how trade agreements lead to greater efficiencies in the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services hinges upon a careful scrutiny of the application of particular trade agreements in specific social, economic and political contexts. The conclusion that economic consolidation leads to greater efficiency does not speak for itself.
v. Bilateral Agreements can Aid Development
A win-win case can be made for “aid for trade”. Through “aid for trade”, developed states can make short term economic sacrifices in favor of developing states, while both parties can arrive at a more sustainable economic benefit in the longer term.[99] The anticipated “good” is the leveling of an uneven playing field leading to a more vibrant global trading community[100] that includes a growing demand for goods and services.[101]
The problem is that the rhetoric behind “trade for aid” speaks louder than the practice. For example, non-reciprocal preferences known as “special and differential treatment (SDT)”, readily available to developing states under the GATT,[102] have only limited currency today. Controversial in nature and often extended to the least developed states only, SDTs have lost the moral high ground they enjoyed in decades past.[103] More recent WTO “Aid for Trade” programs are also considered to be poorly defined.[104] Lacking sustained support, they have failed to provide deprived economic systems with the necessary structural change.[105]
Equally apparent is the fact that developed states tend to accord a higher priority to protecting their immediate market interests than using aid to build markets in developing states in the longer term. Coupled with this is the conflict within developed states between support for social reform in developing states and protecting foreign markets for goods and services.[106] Expressing such protectionism in relation to domestic labor markets is the controversial statement by U.S. Senator Charles Schumer and Paul Craig Roberts, a former Reagan administration official, that: “Exporting jobs is not free trade.”[107]
vi. Bilateral Agreements Can Advance Foreign Policy
Linked to “aid for trade” is the proposition that developed states can use bilateral trade agreements to promote foreign policy that includes social reform in developing states. For example, the U.S. openly acknowledges its foreign policy goals in concluding trade agreements with developing states, emphasizing that it does so to “help such [developing] countries.”
Foreign policy constitutes a second reason for the United States to seek FTAs. Because the proposed free-trade agreements would be of substantial benefit to the economies of small developing countries while having little effect on the U.S. economy (and a beneficial effect at that), they provide a relatively easy way for the United States to help such countries.[108]
However, one should not readily assume that “good” foreign policy will evolve out of trade agreements between developed and developing states. Powerful states understandably are more interested in building robust economic-political alliances than in promoting humanitarianism ends, as is apparent in trade agreements between the United States and Middle Eastern States,[109] and quite differently in China’s trade agreement with Iceland aimed at gaining a foothold in Europe.[110]
Whether the foreign policies of developed states promote humanitarianism in fact ultimately will depend on the specific case. However, one should not dismiss humanitarian ends that further foreign policy ends. Aid that is good politics is aid all the same.
vii. Bilateral agreements can give developing states a voice
Bilateral agreements can provide developing states with a voice they otherwise would lack in multilateral trade negotiations.[111] They can develop regional trade agreements to express their collective will.[112] They can use their collective voice to campaign against global and regional measures that conflict with their own immediate interests.[113] As a result, developing states can form political alliances around key issues like agricultural tariffs, as India has done in the wake of the failed Doha Round.[114] They can build trading blocks to empower them to deal with their more powerful economic partners like the EU and the United States.
Developing states may use bilateral agreements to uplift fledgling economies. They may also gain an early warning system that is sufficiently astute and robust to respond to their shared concerns.[115]
One should not overstate the capacity of developing states to join forces to offset the power of developed states. Firstly, developed states themselves can form powerful countervailing trading alliances, such as through the EU and the NAFTA.[116] Secondly, developed blocks can impose import tariffs to protect their own domestic markets in goods like agriculture[117] in respect of which developing states are most threatened.[118] Thirdly, even large blocks of developing states may lack the power to deal effectively with more powerful states that are systemically advantaged by an infrastructure of stringent health and safety, labor, environmental and intellectual property requirements that are too costly for developing states to afford.[119] Developed and developing states alike also fall into the trap of negotiating themselves into a multilateral impasse, as is the current fate of both G-20 and G-33 states.[120]
The stark reality is that most developing states are likely to remain disadvantaged vis a vis the developed world. Developing states lack sufficient political clout to offset their economic, social and political disadvantages vis a vis developing states. This competitive disadvantage of developing states is further borne out by their marginal gross domestic production and standards living compared to developed states.[121] Take agriculture, the lifeblood of most developing economies. Not only must developing states compete among themselves to export their undifferentiated agricultural produce to the developed world. They must also endure a formidable array of post-GATT barriers to trade that exclude them from a complex market for sophisticated food processing and distribution systems and a growing demand for high end agricultural goods which developing states do not produce.[122]
viii. Bilateral agreements can encourage human rights reform
A final motivational rationale behind bilateralism is the optimistic assumption that bilateral trade will provide developing states with both the incentive and the means to engage in social and economic reform, such as in health care, education and housing.[123] The assumption is that developing states interested in promoting trade relations with developed states will wish to appear socially progressive, especially in regard to human rights, labor and environmental standards.[124] Certainly, bilateral agreements can have such an effect. Whether they do so in fact depends on the particular context, not by inferring that developing states will be motivated.
IV. Reflections
Bilateral contracts may well help to facilitate, not
only trade liberalization, but also structural reform. They may also benefit
transitional economies, such as by responding over time to divergences in trade
cycles and trade integration between developed and
developing
states.[125]
However, for such liberalization to occur, states need to be willing to conclude
supportive bilateral agreements, and also to comply
with them. In reality, the
combined costs of compliance and enforcement may be too great for many states
and prohibitive in relation
to poorer ones, particularly in light of the complex
apparatus involved in resolving trade
disputes.[126]
In the ideal world, too, bilateral agreements may reconcile economic and
political differences that cannot be resolved multilaterally,
leading to the
expansion of trade and facilitating social
reform.[127]
Whether bilateral agreements accomplish these objectives again will depend, not
on either generalities or conjecture, but upon on
how they are concluded and
applied in specific cases.
For some, bilateral trade agreements will expand upon trade incrementally.[128] For others, bilateral agreements will create "systemic problems", subjecting multilateral trade relationships to disparate preferences, inconsistent tariff schedules and variable rules of origin.[129] For yet others, bilateral agreements will lead to social transformation within developing states, while others will view such a result with skepticism.[130]
Bilateral trade agreements certainly can lead to both greater wealth and greater sharing of wealth. States can increase their revenues from expanded trade and also extend their social services. Corporations that pay lower duties as a result of bilateral trade can pass on part of their profits to consumers in the form of lower prices.[131] States, corporations and individuals alike can lever off gains from trade concessions to shore up their reputations for humanitarianism and philanthropy.[132]
However, even if developing states increase revenue streams from bilateral
agreements, even if international corporations promote
economic development
within developing states and even if bilateral trade leads to lower prices for
goods and services, there is
still no assurance that states will distribute such
economic developments. Nor do bilateral agreements generally offer compelling
enforcement mechanisms to ensure
compliance.[133]
However commendable coupling bilateral free trade with “aid for
trade” may be, governments with dubious human rights
records may resist
social reform.[134]
However well meaning other states may be, many will decline to use bilateral
agreements to promote social reform in partner states
because it is impolitic so
to engage.[135]
Ultimately, the contribution which bilateral trade agreements make to
multilateral trade will depend on whether individual states
choose to comply
with them and failing that, the extent to which they can be compelled to comply.
Given how imperfectly states make
choices in international trade, global
standards governing the negotiation, performance and enforcement of bilateral
trade agreements
may be necessary to ensure compliance, and to offset
disparities in bargaining powers among parties to such agreements and to protect
non-parties. How to devise such standards will not be
easy.[136] States
are likely to resist measures that limit their sovereignty; political and
economic alliances will inevitably be formed to
work against multilateral accord
with which those states disagree; and reaching multilateral consensus in the
spirit of Article XXIV
of the GATT will be illusive at best.
Many states undoubtedly will appreciate the virtue of regulating trade in order to produce a global good that is greater than the sum of its scattered array of bilateral parts. How the multilateral community might pursue that greater good will determine the sustainability of bilateral trade in the ensuing decades.
[∗] LL.M.,
S.J.D. (Harvard); Professor of Law and Immediate Past Dean, Faculty of Law,
University of New South Wales. The author is
active as an international
commercial arbitrator and free trade panelist, most recently serving on the
Panel that decided the Softwood
Lumber (Dumping) dispute between Canada and the
United States. He is author or editor of 6 books and over 100 articles. For
information
on his professional and academic background, see www.trakmanassoc.com. The author thanks
Professors Bryan Mercurio, Beverly Moran and Nick Ranieri for their valuable
comments on an earlier draft of this
article and the University of New South
Wales for funding
it.
[1] On the
proliferation of bilateral free trade agreements, see http://www.cfr.org/publication/10890/
On the changing character of the WTO, see Peter Gallagher, The
First Ten Years of the WTO: 1995-2005 (Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge Un. Press
2005); Peter “van den” Bossche, The Law and Policy of the
World Trade Organization: Text, Cases and Materials (Cambridge Un. Press
2005).
[2]
On the history of global trade negotiations, see e.g. Thomas R. Howell,
Alan Wm. Wolff, Brent L. Bartlett & R. Michael Gadbaw, Conflict among Nations:
Trade Policies in the 1990s (Boulder, Co.: Westview Press, 1993); Fatoumata
Jawara & Aileen Kwa, Behind the Scenes at the WTO – the Real
World of International Trade Negotiation (London & New York: Zed
Books, 2003).
[3]
This sidelining of WTO dispute resolution will include the tendency to direct a
greater volume of trade disputes to state courts
and regional tribunals. On
dispute resolution under the WTO, see Yang Guohua, Bryan Mercurio &
Li Yongjie, WTO Dispute Settlement Understanding: A Detailed
Interpretation (London, Kluwer Law International, 2005); Petros C.
Mavroidis & N. David Palmeter, Dispute Settlement in the World Trade
Organization: Practice and Procedure (Cambridge, U.K.:
Cambridge Un. Press, 2004); Ernst-Ulrich Petersmann, The GATT/WTO Dispute
Settlement System: International Law, International Organizations and Dispute
Settlement (London, the Hague, Boston: Kluwer Law International, 1997).
On regional trade agreements, see e.g. James H Mathis,
Regional Trade Agreements in the GATT/WTO: Article XXIV and the
International Trade Requirement (The Hague: T.M.C. Asser Press, 2002).
[4] For
illustrations of structural changes wrought by bilateral trade agreements upon
multilateral trade, particularly in regard to
trade liberalization and
protectionism, see Scott L. Baier & Jeffrey H. Bergstrand, “The
Growth of World Trade: Tariffs, Transport Costs and Income Similarity”,
53
J. Intl. Econ. 27 (2001); Anne O Krueger, “Are Preferential Trading
Arrangements Trade-Liberalizing or Protectionist?”
13(4) J. Econ.
Perspectives 105 (1999); Paul Krugman, “The Move Towards Free Trade
Zones”, at http://www.kansascityfEd.org/publicat/Sympos/1991/S91krugm.pdf
[5] For a
comprehensive list of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs), see http://www.worldtradelaw.net
[6]See generally
Robert McMahon, “The Rise in Bilateral Free Trade Agreements”,
Council on Foreign Relations, June 13 2006 at http://www.cfr.org/publication/10890/
But see http://www.bilaterals.org/article.php3?id_article=1227
(a website devoted to the downfall of bilateral free trade
agreements).
[7]
See e.g., Chad P. Bown, “Participation in WTO Dispute Settlement:
Complainants, Interested Parties, and Free Riders,” 19(2) World
Bank Econ.
Rev. 287 (2005); Chad P. Bown, “On the Economic Success of GATT/WTO
Dispute Settlement”, 86(3) Rev. Econ.
& Statistics 811 (2004); James
McCall Smith, “The Politics of Dispute Settlement Design:
Explaining Legalism in Regional Trade Pacts” 54 Int’l. Organization
137 (2003);
Michael J. Trebilcock & Robert Howse, The Regulation of
International Trade (UK: Routledge, 1995). Marc L. Busch &
Eric Reinhardt, “Testing
International Trade Law: Empirical Studies of GATT/WTO Dispute Settlement”
at http://www.carleton.ca/ctpl/pdf/conferences/REINHARDT-BUSCH!95.pdf.
[8]
For a comprehensive list of publications on global commerce and the WTO, see
http://henningcenter.berkeley.edu/gateway/wto.html.
[9]
See infra Section II, i. One ought not to overstate the WTO as a knight
in shining armor, ready to take on the forces of evil. There are some
who worry
about the impact of the WTO upon global society, as distinct from the global
economy. See e.g. Kent Albert Jones, Who's Afraid
of the WTO? (Oxford Un. Press, 2003); Benjamin Heim
Shepard & Ronald Hayduk, From ACT Up to the WTO: Urban Protest and
Community Building in the Era of Globalization (Verso, 2002); Robin
Broad, Global Backlash: Citizen Initiatives for a Just World
Economy (Roman Littlefield,
2002).
[10] This
conception of cooperation is perhaps best exemplified by the requirements under
the WTO, as distinct from the GATT, that China
satisfy three levels of
commitment to be admitted as a member of the WTO. Firstly, China was obliged to
commit itself to the objectives
of the WTO, such as to the most-favored
nations’ clause, national treatment and transparency requirements, as
exemplified in
the GATT and developed in the ensuing WTO agreements. Secondly,
China had to demonstrate in its accession protocol its commitment
to
establishing and complying with a series of WTO trade rules applicable in
specific sectors, such as in relation to agricultural
and textiles, information
technology and telecommunications. Thirdly, China had to establish its
commitment to its bilateral agreements
with its major trading partners, and that
it had their support in negotiating its entry into the WTO. See further
infra notes 41, 42 and
62.
[11] On the
tension between trade liberalization and protectionism, see Gea M. Lee,
“Trade Agreements with Domestic Policies as Disguised
Protection,”71(1) J.
Int. Econ. 241-259 (2007). See generally John Howard Jackson,
Sovereignty, the WTO and Changing Fundamentals of International
Law (Cambridge, UK, Cambridge Un. Press, 2006) But see Judith
L. Goldstein & Lisa Martin, “Legalization, Trade Liberalization, and
Domestic Politics: A Cautionary Note”,
54 Intl. Org. 63
(2003).
[12] See
further infra Section II,
vi.
[13] Despite
the image of a liberalizing trade culture shifting from multilateralism to
bilateralism, multilateralism is sometimes quietly
resurrected through
diplomacy. On the “quiet” resurrection of the Doha Talks through to
Hong Kong, see e.g. recent comments of the U.S. Trade Representative,
Susan Schwab, at http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/23/business/NA-FIN-US-Doha-Talks.php.
On different WTO negotiation strategies since Doha, see http://www.twnside.org.sg/trade_1.htm
See too Robert M. Stern, “Perspectives on the WTO Doha
Development”, 5(4) Global Economy J.(2005).
[14] In defense of
bilateral free trade agreements, see e.g. Daniel Griswald,
“Bilateral Deals are No Threat to Global Trade”, The Financial Times
(27 July 2003); CBO, “The
Pros and Cons of Pursuing Free Trade Deals,
Congressional Economic and Budget Issue Brief (Congressional Budget Office, 31
July
2003).
[15]
See e.g. Bryan Mercurio & Simon Lester, Bilateral and Regional
Trade Agreements: Analysis and Commentary (Cambridge, UK:
Cambridge Un. Press, upcoming 2007); Lorand Bartels & Federico
Ortino, Regional Trade Agreements and the WTO Legal System
(Oxford, UK: Oxford Un. Press,
2006).
[16] On the
history of Article XXIV of the GATT and divisions among developing states over
its virtues, see James H Mathis, supra note 3; .J. Goto & K.
Hamada, “Regional Economic Integration and Article XXIV of the
GATT”, 7(4) Review Int’l.
Econ. 555-570
(1999).
[17]
The text of Article XXIV, clause 4, continues that the contracting parties
“recognize that the purpose of a customs union or
of a free-trade area
should be to facilitate trade between the constituent territories and not to
raise barriers to the trade of
other contracting parties with such
territories.” See further http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/region_e/regatt_e.htm#gatt
[18]
The rules of the GATT and WTO provide that, except in relation to free trade
areas (which would include bilateral trade agreements),
a state may not impose a
higher tariff against one member state than another, so that any diminution in a
state's barriers to trade
must apply equally to imports from all other member
countries. As a result, reducing a state's barriers to trade
supposedly promotes the competitiveness of all imports equally, so that the
growth
in imports from one state will displace domestic production and not
imports from other
states.
[19] See
Fred C. Bergsten, "Competitive Liberalization and Global Free Trade: A
Vision for the Early 21st Century," APEC Working Papers No.
96-15 (Washington
D.C.: Institute for International Economics, 1996). It is through this
“competitive liberalism” that
GDP is expected to
grow.
[20] See
generally Elhanan Helpman, The Mystery of Economic Growth
(Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA. 2004).
[21] Debate over
the extent to which global competition promotes the liberalization of trade is
long-standing. See e.g. Edward Montgomery Graham & J. David
Richardson, Global Competition Policy (Institute for
International Economics, 1997); Michael Storper, The
Regional World: territorial development a global economy (New
York, NY: Guilford Press, 1997); Elhanan Helpman & Paul Robin
Krugman, Market Structure and Foreign Trade Presents a Coherent Theory of Trade
in the Presence of
Market Structures Other Than Perfect Competition (Cambridge,
Mass.: MIT Press, 1985).
[22] For the
argument that the liberalization of trade through free trade agreements
generally benefits multilateral trade, see Emanuel Ornelas,
“Endogenous Free Trade Agreements and the Multilateral Trading
System”, 67(2) J. Int. Econ. 471-497
(2005).
[23] On the
impact of bilateral trade agreements upon non-parties, see Kyle Bagwell
& Robert W. Staiger, “Erratum to Multilateral Trade Negotiations,
Bilateral Opportunism and the Rules of GATT/WTO”
67(2) J. Int. Econ.
268-294 (2004). See too Emanuel Ornelas, “Endogenous Free Trade
Agreements and the Multilateral Trading System,
ibid.
[24]
This relative decrease in barriers to trade occurs when the parties to bilateral
or regional trade agreements erect barriers to trade
to non-parties that do not
exceed the reduced trade barriers between the parties to those agreements.
See e.g. Helpman & Krugman, supra note
21.
[25] For an
analysis of the distribution effect of trade policy, see Guido G. Porto,
“Using Survey Data to Assess the Distributional Effects of Trade
Policy,” 70(1) J. Int. Econ. 140-160
(2006).
[26] In
rooting multilateral trade, including bilateral trade agreements in the
traditions of a liberal democracy see e.g. Daniel Verdier,
Democracy and International Trade: Britain, France, and the United States,
1860-1990 (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton Un. Press,
1995)
[27] See
generally Wesley C. Mitchell, “The Role of Money in Economic
Theory”, 6(1) American Econ. Rev.140 (1916); Razeen Sally, Classical
Liberalism and International Economic Order: Studies in Theory and Intellectual
History (UK: Routledge, 1998). For a criticism of
“economic rationality” attributed primarily to the United States,
see e.g. Peter Karl Kresl, “The United States, Canada, and the
‘Market Mentality’”, 14 (1) J. Interamerican Studies
& World Affairs 3
(1972).
[28] The
rationale is that states, as rational actors in a competitive market, pursue
shared economic ends, such as the reduction and
elimination of trade duties and
tariffs. The apparent result is a win-win: a win for governments in raising
revenue from increased
trade, for producers and suppliers who incur reduced
costs and are able to produce and sell more with greater efficiency and for
consumers in paying less for goods. See Porter, Efficiency,
Equity, and Legitimacy: The Multilateral Trading System at the
Millennium (Washington DC, Brookings Institution Press,
2001).
[29] See
generally Roger B. Porter, ibid). But see Jagdish Bhagwati,
“After Seattle: Free Trade and the WTO”, 77(1) International Affairs
15–30
(2001).
[30] On the
“most favored nation” treatment in international trade, see e.g.
Kamal Saggi, “Tariffs and the Most Favored Nation clause” 63 J.
Int. Econ. (2005) 341–368; Andrew F. Daughety &
Jennifer F. Reinganum,
“Exploiting Future: Settlements: A Signaling Model of Most-Favored
National Clauses in Settlement Bargaining,”
35(3) RAND J. Econ. 467-485
(2004); Andrew A. Faye, “APEC and the New Regionalism: GATT Compliance and
Prescriptions for the WTO, 28 See generally Law & Policy in
Int’l. Bus. 175-215 (1996).
[31] Debate over
the extent to which bilateral trade is selective and exclusionary, see e.g.
Martin Wolf, Why Globalization Works (New Haven: Yale
Un. Press, 2004); Jagdish Bhagwati & Arvind Panagariya, “The
Theory of Preferential Trade Agreements: Historical Evolution and Current
Trends”,
86(2) Am. Econ.Rev.82 (1996); A.O. Krueger, Are Preferential
Trading Arrangements Liberalizing or Protectionist? 13(4) J.Econ. Perspective
105 (1999); Raymond Riezman, “Can Bilateral Trade Agreements Help to
Induce Free Trade”, 32 Can. J. Econ.751 (1999);
Kyle Bagwell & Robert
W. Staiger, “Will Preferential Agreements Undermine the Multilateral
Trading System?” 108 The
Econ. J., 1162 (1998); Philip I. Levy, “An
Political-Economic Analysis of Free Trade Agreements”, 87 Am. Econ.
Rev.506
(1997).
[32] See
generally Adam Szirmai, The Dynamics of Socio-Economic Development: An
Introduction (Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Press, 2005); Philip David
McMichael, Development and Social Change: A Global Perspective
3rd Ed. (Pine Forge Press, 2004); Rourdes Beneria
& Savitri Bisnath, Global Tensions: Challenges and Opportunities in
the World Economy (UK: Routledge, 2003).
[33] For example,
it is presumably rational for states to use bilateral free trade agreements as
ways of “encouraging” recalcitrant
states to engage in social reform
in the interests of more stable, and mutually profitable, trade over the longer
term. See further infra Section II
iv.
[34] The
conception of the “invisible hand” in the free market is attributed
to Adam Smith and his “Wealth of Nations,”
although in the two
passages in which he refers to the invisible hand of the individual, not the
state. See Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the
Wealth of Nations para.IV.2.9 & para.IV.I.10 (Edinburgh, 1776).
[35] The NAFTA is
an example of an all-encompassing free trade agreement, although it is not all
encompassing in liberalizing trade and
the three NAFTA parties. See
Trakman, Dispute Settlement under the NAFTA: Manual and
Sourcebook (New York: Transnational Publ., 1997); Robert E. Litan &
Peter Hakim, The Future of North American Integration: Beyond
NAFTA (Washington DC: Brookings Institution Press,
2002).
[36]
Protectionism is often based on the “infant industry” syndrome,
namely, that a state needs to protect an industry that
is as yet under-developed
and would be undermined by foreign competition in the absence of such
protection. Equally often, such
protection is girded by the interest of a
government in preserving relationships with particular industries, as when a
government
supports farmers who represent significant voting strength in rural
constituencies. On infant industries, see e.g. “Symposium on
Infant Industries: A Comment”, 31(1) Oxford Develop. Stud. 33 (2003);
Steven M. Suranovic, International Trade Theory and
Policy, at http://internationalecon.com/Trade/Tch100/T100-4.php
[37] For
instance, the US-Australia Free Trade Agreement. See e.g. Jeffrey J.
Scott, Free Trade Agreements: US Strategies and
Priorities (Institute for International Economics, 2004); Peter
Drahos & David Henry, “The Free Trade Agreement between Australia
and
the United States”, BMJ. Com, 27 (Feb.2007); P.I.Levy, “A
Political-Economic Analysis of Free-Trade Agreements”,
87(4) Am. Econ.
Rev.(2003).
[38] Such
protectionism is apparent when smaller states wish to protect their
“cultural heritage” in negotiating free trade
agreements with more
powerful trade partner. Both Canada and Mexico under the NAFTA and Australia
under the U.S.-Australia Free
Trade Agreements were so preoccupied. See
e.g. John A. Ragosta, “The Cultural Industries Exemption From NAFTA
– Its Parameters”, 3 Canada-US L. J. (1997); Report,
Department of
Foreign Affairs and Trade, An Australia-United States Free Trade
Agreement (Australian Government, DFAT, 2001 at http://www.dfat.gov.au/publications/aus_us_fta_mon/
[39] Yet
again, the nature of trade liberalization is itself influenced by disparate
philosophical values, notably by changing values
associated with democratic
liberalism and economic rationality. See supra Sections II ii.
[40] On the debate
over the extent to which states, not limited to developing states, protect their
agricultural sectors, see infra Section III,
vi.
[41] On the
proliferation of bilateral free trade agreements, see http://www.cfr.org/publication/10890/
[42] See
e.g. Gerald Chan, China's Compliance in Global Affairs: Trade, Arms
Control, Environmental Protection, Human Rights (New Jersey, World
Scientific,2006); Yong Deng & Fei-Ling, China Rising: Power and
Motivation in Chinese Foreign Policy (Lanham, MD, Rowman &
Littlefield, 2005).
[43] See
Aimin Chen & Shunfeng Song, China's Rural Economy After the WTO:
Problems And Strategies (Ashgate Publ., 2006); Deepak Bhattasali
& Shantong Li, China and the WTO: Policy and Poverty After China's
Accession to the WTO (World Bank,
2004).
[44]
“second generation” regional free trade agreements is intended those
regional agreements that have arisen over the last
two decades under the WTO,
notably the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) as distinguished from
“first generation”
agreements like the European Union (EU) which
traces back further. On the history of the EU, see Christopher Stevens
& Jane Kennan, Post Lome WTO Compatible Trading Arrangements,
Economic Paper 45 (Economic Paper Series, Commonwealth Secretariat, 2002);
Ernst-Ulrich Petersmann & Mark A. Pollack, Transatlantic Economic
Disputes: the EU, the US, and the WTO (Oxford, UK: Oxford Un.
Press,
2003)
[45] See
e.g. Ramkishen S. Rajan, Reza Y. Siregar & Rahul Sen, Singapore
and Free Trade Agreements: Economic Relations with Japan and the United
States (Institute of South East Asian Studies, 2001; Sen Rahul,
“Free Trade Agreements in Southeast Asia”
(Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2004); John Ravenhill,
“The New Bilateralism in the Asia Pacific”, 24(2) Third
World
Quarterly 299 (2003); Ramkishen S. Rajan, Reza Y. Siregar & Rahul Sen,
Singapore and Free Trade Agreements: Economic Relations with Japan and the
United States (Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2001).
[46] On the
significance of complex geo-political and economic forces within the WTO, see
Fatoumata Jawara & Aileen Kwa, Behind the Scenes at the WTO
– The Real World of International Trade Negotiations, supra
note 1.
[47] A
multilateral trade culture is certainly part of a “legal” culture,
but again far from a fixed culture grounded in clear-cut
legal principles like
freedom of contract and the binding force of agreements. See generally
Leon E. Trakman, “Legal Traditions and International Commercial
Arbitration”, American Review of Arbitration (Spring 2007),
also at http://works.bepress.com/leon_trakman/;
Roger Cotterrell, The Concept of Legal Culture, Chapter 1
in David Nelken, Ed., Comparing Legal Cultures,
13-31(Aldershot: Dartmouth Publishing Company, 1997); Alan Watson, Legal
Change: Sources of Law and Legal Culture 131 U. Pa. L.Rev.1121 (1982).
See too Clifford Geerz, The Interpretation of Cultures: Selected
Essays (Basic Books,
1973).
[48] See
e.g. Michael N. Barnett & Raymond. Duvall, Power in Global
Governance, vol. 98, Cambridge Studies in Global Governance (Cambridge,
UK, 2005);.Jagdish Natwarlal Bhagwati, In Defense of Globalization
(Oxford, U.K.: Oxford University Press, 2004); Bernard M. Hoekman & Philip
Aaditya Mattoo, Development, Trade and the WTO: A Handbook (New
York: World Bank Publ., 2002) On applauding the apparatus supporting the GATT
and WTO systems, including the public servants
that maintain the offices of
multilateral trade institutions, see Yi Chong Xu & Patrick Weller,
Governance of World Trade: International Civil Servants and
GATT/WTO (Glos., U.K.: Edward Elgar Publ.,
2004).
[49] See
e.g. James E. Anderson & Oriana Bandiera, “Traders, Cops and
Robbers,” 70(1) J. Int. Econ. 197-215
(2006).
[50] See
generally Donald D. Richards, Intellectual Property Rights and Global
Capitalism: The Political Economy of the Trips Agreement (Armonk, NY:
M.E. Sharpe Publ, 2004); Will Martin & Mari Pangestu, Options for
Global Trade Reform: A View from the Asia-Pacific (Cambridge Un.
Press, 2003); “Intellectual Property in the Global Marketplace,”
3(3) Economic Perspectives, An Electronic
Journal of the U.S. Information Agency
(May 1998); Keith Eugene Maskus, Intellectual Property Rights in the
Global Economy (Washington DC: Institute for International
Economics, 2000); Mitchell B. Wallerstein, Mary Ellen Mogee & Roberta A.
Schoen,
Global Dimensions of Intellectual Property Rights in Science and
Technology (Washington DC: National Academies Press, 1993).
See generally http://www.cid.harvard.edu/cidtrade/issues/ipr.html
[51]
For the argument that some developing states have corrupt public
institutions which, in turn, has important implications for the design
of
monetary policies and institutions, see Haizhou Huang & Shang-Jin We,
“Monetary Policies for Developing Countries: The Role of Institutional
Quality”, 70(1)
J. Intl. Econ.239-252
(2006).
[52] On
trading with recalcitrant states, see e.g. Das, Dilip, Globalization and
the Anti-Globalization Lobby: Investigating Two Sides of One Veracity (April
2005) at http://www.cid.harvard.edu/cidtrade/Papers/das-aaa.pdf.
[53]
It remains to be seen how bilateral agreements can constrain rogue behavior by
states. The most apparent constraint is in states
declining to enter into
bilateral agreements with such rogue states, or in concluding such agreements
but on less preferable terms.
To the author’s knowledge, the former
practice is most likely common, although it is unlikely to appear in published
sources.
The latter practice by which free trade agreements grant disparate
concessions may become apparent in bilateral practice, but is
not self-evidently
so at this early stage. See e.g. Robert McMahon, “The Rise in
Bilateral Free Trade Agreements”, supra note
6.
[54] For the
reasons why the drafts of the GATT included Article XXIV, see supra notes
16 and 17. On Article XXIV of the GATT generally, see James H Mathis
supra note 3.
[55]
Studiously avoiding trade conflict is an old strategy in multilateral trade
relationships. For Canadian perspectives including foreign
policy on conflict
avoidance, see e.g. Philippe G. Le Prestre, Role Quests in the
Post-Cold War Era: Foreign Policies in Transition (Montreal, Canada:
McGill University Press, 1997); Duncan Cameron, The Free Trade Papers
(Ottawa, Canada: James Lorimer & Co.,
1986).
[56] On a
history of EU trade policy, see Christopher Stevens & Jane Kennan,
Post Lome WTO Compatible Trading Arrangements, supra note
44; Ernst-Ulrich Petersmann & Mark A. Pollack, supra note 44.
See too Gary P. Sampson & Stephen Woolcock, Regionalism,
Multilateralism, and Economic Integration: The Recent Experience (Tokya,
Japan: United Nations University Press,
2003)
[57] On the
ASEAN Free Trade Area, see http://www.us-asean.org/afta.asp; http://www.aseansec.org/economic/afta/afta.htm See
too Vinod K. Aggarwal “The Political Economy of a Free Trade Area of
the Asia-Pacific, 14(2) Bus. Asia (Feb. 2007); Jamus Jerome
Lim, “The
Dimensions of Regional Trade Integration in Southeast Asia” 23(3) ASEAN
Economic Bulletin, 395-396 (2006);
Vinod K. Aggarwal & Min Gyo Koo,
“The Evolution of APEC and ASEM: Implications of the New East Asian
Bilateralism”,
4(2) European J.East Asian Stud. 222-264 (2005)
See
too Vinod K. Aggarwal “The Political Economy of a Free Trade Area of
the Asia-Pacific, 14(2) Bus. Asia (Feb. 2007); Jamus Jerome
Lim, “The
Dimensions of Regional Trade Integration in Southeast Asia” 23(3) ASEAN
Economic Bulletin, 39[5]-396 (2006); Vinod K.
Aggarwal & Min Gyo Koo, “The Evolution of APEC and ASEM: Implications
of the New East Asian Bilateralism”,
4(2) European J.East Asian Stud.
222-264 (2005).
58 On the NAFTA, see Leon E.
Trakman, Dispute Settlement under the NAFTA: Manual and
Sourcebook, supra note 35. See too Andrew D. M. Anderson,
Seeking Common Ground: Canada-U.S. Trade Dispute Settlement Policies in
the Nineties (Boulder, Co: Westview Press, 1995); David A. Gantz,
“Resolution of Trade
Disputes under NAFTA's Chapter 19: The Lessons of Extending the Binational Panel
Process to Mexico”, 29 Law & Policy Int’l.Bus.3
(1998).
[59]
On trade sanctions, see Resource Book on TRIPS and
Development, UNICTAD-ICTSD Staff, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University
Press, 2005); Panos Koutrakos, Trade, Foreign Policy and Defence in EU
Constitutional Law (Oxford, UK: Hart Publishing, 2001).
[60] See
generally John H.Jackson, The Jurisprudence of GATT and the WTO:
Insights on Treaty Law and Economic Relations (Cambridge, U.K.,
Cambridge Un. Press, 2000); Mike Moore, A World Without Walls:
Freedom, Development, Free Trade and Global Governance (Cambridge, UK:
Cambridge Un. Press, 2003); John Micklethwait & Adrian Woolridge, A
Future Perfect: The Challenge and Hidden Promise of Globalization (New
York: Crown Publishers
2000).
[61] Andrew
G. Brown Reluctant Partners: A History of Multilateral Trade; Cooperation,
1850- 2000, (Ann Arbor, Mich: Un. Michigan Press, 2003); Bernard Hoekman
& Michel Kostecki, The Political Economy of the World Trading System,
From GATT to WTO (Oxford UK: Oxford Scholarship Online,
2001).
[62] On
China’s accession to the WTO, see G. Wen, Huizhong, Zhou & Ding
Lu, Eds., China's
Economic Globalization Through the WTO (Abingdon, Oxford: Ashgate Publ.,
2003); Shuming Bao, Shuanglin Lin, Changwen Zhao, The Chinese Economy
After WTO Accession (Abingdon, Oxford:Ashgate Publ., 2006); Guy Liu
Shaojia & Guy Shaojia Liu, China's WTO Accession and the Impact on Its
Large Manufacturing Enterprises (World Scientific, Singapore Un. Press,
2001); Ching Cheong, Ching Hung-Yee, Cheong Ching & Hung Yee
Ching, Handbook on China's WTO Accession and Its
Impacts (World Scientific,
2003).
[63]
See e.g. Bruno Cabrillac, A Bilateral Trade Agreement between Hong Kong
and China: CEPA”, 54 China Perspectives 39 (2004). China’s
“arrival” in the global trade community is marked by speculation as
to how China will change the global trading community,
and vice versa. It is
also a subject of debate at international conferences. See e.g., http://www.jurisconferences.com/arbitration.php?id=1&p=1
On China’s influence over global trade, see supra notes
10, 42, 43 and
62.
[64] See e.g
R.S. Rajan & R.Sen, Singapore's New Commercial Trade
Strategy: The Pros and Cons of Bilateralism, at http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&lr=lang_en&q=cache:_6DNZGy37RMJ:www.adelaide.edu.au/cies/0202.pdf+related:_6DNZGy37RMJ:scholar.google.com/
Cf. R.S. Rajan & R.Sen, Trade Reforms in India Ten Years
on: How Has it Fared Compared to Its East Asian Neighbours?
at http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&lr=lang_en&q=cache:PZWEzWPPxpkJ:www.adelaide.edu.au/CIES/0147.pdf+related:_6DNZGy37RMJ:scholar.google.com/;
Linda Low, “Singapore's Bilateral Free Trade Agreements: Institutional.
and Architectural Issues”, April 22-23 2003,
at http://www.pecc.org/publications/papers/trade-papers/5_CP/3-low.pdf
[65] On the
differential impact welfare and market access has upon tariff structures,
see James E. Anderson & J. Peter Neary, “Welfare Versus Market
Access: The Implications of Tariff Structure For Tariff Reform”,
71(1) J.
Int. Econ.187-205
(2007).
[66] See
generally Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger, “Multilateral trade
negotiations, bilateral opportunism and the rules of GATT/WTO”,
63(1) J.
Int. Econ.1-29
(2004).
[67] See
Gea M. Lee, Sharun W. Mukand, “Globalization and the ‘Confidence
Game’”, 70(2) J. Int. Econ. 406-427 (2006).
[68] Ibid.
See too infra Section II, iv.
[69] Some critics
stridently hold this view and indeed, it forms a core part of their antagonism
towards the WTO in general and bilateral
trade agreements in particular. See
e.g supra note
9.
[70] See
further infra Section III,
vi.
[71] Typical of
additional costs to developing states are the communication costs associated
with the liberalization of trade, including
bilateralism. See e.g..
Carsten Fink, Aaditya Mattoo & Ileana Cristina Neagu, “Assessing
the Impact of Communication Costs on International Trade”
67(2), J.
Int.Econ. 428-445 (2005).
[72] See
AfricaFocus Bulletin, “Africa: The Cost of Free Trade” (July 5,
2005) at http://www.africafocus.org/docs05/trad0507.php;
John Hilary The Wrong Model: GATS, Trade Liberalization and
Children’s Right to Health (London: Save the Children UK,
2000).
[73] On the compliance obligations
imposed on developing states, see e.g. Yong-Shik Lee, Reclaiming
Development in the World Trading System (Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge Un.
Press, 2006). See too, Luis Abugattas Majluf, “Swimming in the
Spaghetti Bowl: Challenges for Developing Countries under the ‘New
Regionalism’”,
Policy Issues in International Trade and Commodities
Study Series No. 27, United National Conference on Trade and Development, New
York & Geneva, 2004), at http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&lr=&q=cache:0Q1J0qun6XcJ:www.unctad.org/en/docs/itcdtab28_en.pdf+
[74] It is
apparent that a number of developing states have opted to enter into bilateral
trade agreements. See http://www.worldtradelaw.net. At the
same time, it is unreasonable to assume that, in doing so, they have somehow
leveled the playing field with their developed
trade partners.
[75] In addition
to their legal remedies for treaty violation, developing states can invoke
principles of comity that underscore not only
the obligations that are owed to
them, but also their historical disadvantage including in relation to
international trade. See further Section II,
ii.
[76] But see
Gabrielle Marceau, “WTO Dispute Settlement and Human Rights”,
14(4) European. J. Intl. L. 753-814 (2002) at http://ejil.org/forum_tradehumanrights
On guiding principles of contract law, see Leon E. Trakman,
Contracts: Legal: International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral
Sciences, vol.3 /8/102 (Elsevier Pub., U.K., 2001).
[77] As expressed
by the Congressional Budget Office: “Market forces generally ensure that
all countries involved in the trade share
in the benefits from the increased
output.” Congressional Budget Office, “The Benefits of Multilateral
Trade Liberalization”,
at http://www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=4458&sequence=0
[78]
See e.g. T. Hertel, D. Hummels, M Ivanic & R Keeney, “How Confident Can We Be in
CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements?”, conference paper,
6th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, The Hague, Holland, May
2003), at http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/gtaworkpp/1324.htm; T
Hertel, D Hummels, M. Ivanic & R. Keeney, “Trade creation and trade
diversion in the Canada – United States Free
Trade Agreement Trade
creation and trade diversion in the Canada – United States Free Trade
Agreement”, 34(3) Can. J.
Econ. 677 (2001); K. Fukao, T. Okubo & R.M.
Stern An
Econometric Analysis of Trade Diversion under NAFTA Discussion paper 491
(School of Public Policy, Univ. Michigan: Research Seminar in International
Economics, October 30,
2002).
[79] See
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, Agriculture
And Development: The Case for Policy Coherence (OECD, 2005); World Bank,
Agriculture and the WTO: Creating a Trading System for Development:
Creating a Trading System for Development (New York: World Bank
Publ., 2004); Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture,
Economic Rationale for Nonreciprocal Preferences (USDA Govt. Publ,
2006), at http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/err6/err6b.pdf
[80] One can also
question the extent to which a state’s alleged human rights deficiencies
are sometimes used as a political weapon
directed at embarrassment on the
international stage as distinct from a lever directed at social justice reform.
See United States. Congress, House Committee on International Relations,
Subcommittee on International Operations and Human Rights China, the WTO,
and Human Rights: hearing before the Subcommittee on International Operations
and Human Rights (US GPO,
2000).
[81] See
James Oliver Gump, “The West and the Third World: Trade, Colonialism,
Dependence, and Development” (review) 11(2)
J. World History, 396 (Fall
2000). Nor is economic imperialism confined to colonialism, see D.K.
Fieldhouse Ed. The Theory of Capitalist Imperialism (London:
Longman, Green, 1967); Francis W. Hirst, Ed., Free Trade and Other
Fundamental Doctrines of the Manchester School (New York:
Augustus M. Kelley, 1968); P.J. Cain, "J.A. Hobson, Cobdenism, and the Radical
Theory of Economic Imperialism, 1898-1914,"
31(4) Econ. History Rev. 565 (1978);
Michael Freeden, "J.A. Hobson as a New Liberal Theorist: Some Aspects of his
Social Thought
until 1914," 34(3) J. History of Ideas 421
(1973).
[82] On
trenchant criticism of corporate “abuses” of global trading
benefits, see e.g. Lori Wallach, Michelle Sforza, The WTO: Five
Years of Reasons to Resist Corporate Globalization, (New York; Seven
Stories Press,
2000).
[83]
Developed states may well provide significant social benefits to developing
states, including though bilateral and regional free
trade agreements. See
infra Section III, iv on the U.S. humanitarian objectives in concluding such
agreements with developing states. However, it should not
be inferred that such
humanitarian ends will trump the primary reasons for such agreements, namely, to
build political alliances
and to increase
trade.
[84] For an
econometrics analysis of the benefits arising from free trade agreements, see
e.g. Scott L. Baier & Jeffrey H. Bergstrand, “Do Free Trade
Agreements Actually Increase Members’ International Trade?”
71(1) J.
Int’l. Econ. 72-95
(2007).
[85] See
e.g. Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger, note 60.
[86] For a useful
site on international trade negotiations, see http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/23/business/NA-FIN-US-Doha-Talks.php
[87]
On the disparities between multilateral and bilateral trade interests,
see Sampson & Woolcock, supra note 56.
[88] On
strategies employed in WTO and related negotiations, see e.g. Michael N.
Barnett & Raymond. Duvall, supra note 48; Vinod K. Aggarwal and
Edward Fogarty, Eds., EU Trade Strategies: Between Regionalism and
Globalism (Palgrave MacMillan, 2004); Andrew G. Brown, Reluctant
Partners: A History of Multilateral Trade Cooperation, 1850-2000 (Ann
Arbor, Mich: Un. Mich. Press, 2003). See too Niels M. Blokker,
International Regulation of World Trade in Textiles: Lessons for Practice,
A Contribution to Theory (The Hague: Martinus Nijhoff,
1990).
[89] On the
growing number of bilateral free trade agreements, see e.g. Global Union
Research Network (GURN), “Bilateral and Regional Trade Agreements
TA’s” at http://www.gurn.info/topic/trade/
On efforts to build a Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA), see http://www.ftaa-alca.org/ For an
even more comprehensive list of free trade agreements into which the US has
entered, see http://www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=4458&sequence=0
[90]
See eg “The Spread of Bilateral and Regional Trade Agreements, at
http://www.gurn.info/topic/trade/
[91]
Daniel Griswald proposes that “[n]egotiating with one nation or a small
group of like-minded countries can allow more meaningful
liberalization ....
Those talks can blaze a trail for wider regional and multilateral
negotiations.” Daniel Griswald, supra note
75.
[92]
Ibid. The Congressional Economic and Budget Issue brief, supra
note 14, states that FTA’s “also offer a way to continue making
headway toward the goal of free trade in the face of difficulties
that have
slowed progress in the Doha Round of WTO negotiations.” See too supra
note 77.
[93]
For arguments along these lines, see e.g., Gary P. Sampson & Stephen
Woolcock, Regionalism, Multilateralism, and Economic Integration: The
Recent Experience, supra note 56; International Confederation of
Free Trade Unions, “The Spread of Bilateral and Regional Trade Agreements,
at http://www.gurn.info/topic/trade/icftu_0604.pdf.
[94] See e.g.,
Robert E. Litan & Peter Hakim, The Future of North American
Integration: Beyond NAFTA, supra note 35; Gary, Clyde Hufbauer,
Jeffrey J. Schott, Paul L.E. Grieco & Yee Wong (Washington DC: Institute for
International Economics,
2005); Joseph A. McKinney, Created from NAFTA:
The Structure, Function, and Significance of the Treaty's Related
Institutions (New York & London: M.E. Sharpe, 2001); Robert A.
Pastor, Toward a North American Community: Lessons from the Old World for
the New (Washington DC: Institute for International Economics,
2001).
[95]
Typifying the growth of bilateral free trade agreements is the push by the Bush
Administration to extend the United States’
free trade relationships.
Following its FTA with Israel in 1985, the United States concluded ten
FTA’s: first with Canada
and then with Canada and Mexico under, the NAFTA,
followed by FTA’s with Jordan, Chile, Singapore, Australia, Morocco, El
Salvador,
Nicaragua, and Honduras. Four further FTA’s are approved by
Congress, namely with Costa Rica, Bahrain, the Dominican Republic
and Guatemala.
Three additional FTAs with Columbia, Oman, Peru and Colombia are under
consideration by Congress. The U.S. has also
conducted bilateral free trade
talks with eleven others, seeking either bilateral agreements or to create a
customs union. The U.S.
has also signaled its intention to negotiate a regional
free trade agreement with the thirty four members of the Free Trade Agreement
of
the Americas (FTAA), and has engaged in bilateral trade talks with ten members
of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN), including Vietnam which
is seeking entry into the WTO. While not all these bilateral and regional
agreements are likely
to materialize – for example, the FTAA is currently
stalled – they do indicate the extent to which a major power that
traditionally relied on its muscle at the WTO has now embraced the bilateral
trade process.
[96] See supra
note 44.
[97]
See supra notes 44 and
58.
[98] See
generally note
6.
[99] This is
the central argument behind “aid for trade”. See e.g.
Stiglitz and Charlton, supra note
108.
[100] See
Caroline Dommen, “The WTO, International trade, and Human
Rights”, in Michael Windfuhr (Ed.), Mainstreaming
Human Rights in Multilateral Institutions (2004) at
[101] For
illustrations of bilateral aid for trade programs, see Joseph E. Stiglitz
and Andrew Charlton, Aid for Trade, A Report for the Commonwealth
Secretariat, March 2006), at http://www.uneca.org/atpc/documents/May/stiglitz%20on%20aid%20for%20trade.pdf
On the EU’s new commitment to aid for trade, see http://ec.europa.eu/trade/issues/bilateral/regions/acp/pr161006_en.htm
[102] For a
detailed study on these STD’s, their origins and how they have fared,
see Dilip K. Das, “Evolvolution in the International Trade Regime:
Refining and Developing the Special and Differential Treatment”,
at
http://www.cid.harvard.edu/cidtrade/Papers/das-emtr.pdf
See too, Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy, Trade and
Global Governance Program, “Can Aid Fix Trade: Assessing the WTO’s
Aid for Trade Agenda”, at http://www.tradeobservatory.org/library.cfm?refid=89070
[103] On
limitations associated with SDT’s, see supra note
101.
[104]
A related problem is that developing countries often lack the resources to
evaluate what trade for aid provides them with most economic
benefit. As a
result, they sometimes enter into trade for aid relationships that fail
significantly because the nature of the aid
is unsuitable, however laudable the
intent. For interesting discussion in this problem, see http://queriinternational.com/
[105]
See e.g. “Can Aid Fix Trade? supra note
101.
[106] See
e.g. Caroline Dommen, “Raising Human Rights Concerns in the World
Trade Organization - Actors, Processes and Possible Strategies,”
24 Human
Rights Quarterly 1 (2002); John Hilary, The Wrong Model: GATS, Trade
Liberalization and Children’s Right to Health (London: Save the
Children UK,
2000).
[107] See
http://www.iht.com/search/search.php;
http://www.brookings.edu/comm/events/20040107.htm
On protectionism arising out of safeguarding measures, see M. C. E. J.
Bronckers, “Selective Safeguard Measures in Multilateral Trade Relations:
Issues of Protectionism in GATT, European
Community and United States
Law,” 2(4) J. Int’l, Econ.Law 547-566 (1991). On the history of
protectionism in relation
to textiles, see Vinod K. Aggarwal,
Liberal Protectionism: The International Politics of Organized Textile
Trade (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1985).
[108]
“Reasons for and Against the Pursuit of Free-Trade Agreements”
in The Pros and Cons of Pursuing Free-Trade Agreements, at http://www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=4458&sequence=0
[109] On a
proposed US -Middle Eastern Free Trade Area, as articulated by the US Trade
Representative, see http://www.ustr.gov/Trade_Agreements/Regional/MEFTA/Section_Index.html.
On free trade agreements between the US and different Middle Eastern countries,
see e.g, The US-Oman Free Trade Agreement, at http://www.ustr.gov/assets/Document_Library/Press_Releases/2006/January/asset_upload_file25_8774.pdf.
On U.S. policy in which free trade agreements serve political-strategic ends,
see Jeffry J. Schott, Free Trade Agreements: US Strategies and
Priorities (Institute for International Economics, 2004); Robert S.
Walters, Talking
Trade: U.S. Policy in International Perspective (Boulder, Co: Westview
Press, 1993).
[110] For a
report on the commencement of the China-Iceland free trade talks, see http://www.bilaterals.org/article.php3?id_article=5220;
http://yuguangzhou2.mofcom.gov.cn/aarticle/activityheader/200612/20061203938363.html
[111] See
e.g. the comments of the U.S. Trade Representative, Susan Schwab, at http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/23/business/NA-FIN-US-Doha-Talks.php
[112]
See e.g. T.N. Srinivasan, Developing Countries and the Multilateral
Trading System After Doha (E.G. Center,
2002).
[113] On
global trade negotiations, including strategies by which to protect the
interests of developing countries, see Third World Network, at http://www.twnside.org.sg/trade_1.htm
[114]
See further Peter Draper & Razeen Sally,
“Developing-Country Coalitions in Multilateral Trade Negotiations, at
http://www.lse.ac.uk/collections/internationalTradePolicyUnit/Razeen_articles/draper-sallyjnu1.doc
[115] Even
before the Doha Round of trade negotiations, some warned that these issues
around agriculture might well lead to the failure
of multilateral negotiations.
See e.g. Tim Gosling, The WTO Agricultural Negotiations: Progress and
Prospects, at http://www.choicesmagazine.org/2005-2/wto/2005-2-08.htm
[116] The
NAFTA is not a perfect example of a free trade zone of developing countries for
several reasons. Firstly, unlike the EU, the
US is the dominant party in the
NAFTA. Secondly, while Canada has a developed economy, Mexico has a developing
economy. See generally supra note 33.
[117] Even
barriers to trade devised by developed states against one another, such as
between the EU and the United States, often gives
rise to collateral damage for
developing states who are also subject to resulting restrictions in trade.
See e.g. Ernst-Ulrich Petersmann & Mark A. Pollack,
Transatlantic Economic Disputes: the EU, the US, and the WTO,
supra note 44; Vinod K. Aggarwal & Edward Fogarty, “The Limits
of Interregionalism: The EU and North America” (with Edward
Fogarty),
27(3) J. European Integration, 327-346
(2005).
[118]
This concern gives rise to related human rights concerns about multilateral
trade generally. See e.g. Towards Development: Human Rights and
the WTO Agenda, Report of a panel discussion held during the WTO
Ministerial Conference in Cancún, September 2003, at www.3dthree.org
[119] See
ibid. Global trade, understandably, has been oriented in favor of the
interests of developed states long before developing states were
recognized as
players in the global trading community. What is less elucidating is the
limited effort by the WTO to encourage the
resort to bilateral trade agreements
to achieve socio-economic reform in developing states. Global human rights
activist, like Carolyn
Dommen clearly do not believe that the WTO has gone far
enough in highlighting human rights. See e.g. Carolyn Dommen, “The
WTO, International trade, and Human Rights” supra note 88. See
generally supra Section II,
vi.
[120] On the
“success” of trading blocks at negotiating themselves out of deals
is the source of extensive debate. See supra note 2. See also
Giovanni Anania, Agricultural Trade Conflicts
and GATT: New Dimensions in U.S.-European Agricultural Trade Relations
(Boulder, Co: Westview Press,
1994).
[121]
See e.g. R.C. Feenstra & G.H. Hanson, Global Production Sharing
and Rising Inequality: A Survey of Trade and Wages (Washington DC:
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., U.S.A.,
2001).
[122]
See further Bernard Hoekman & Will Martin, Developing
Countries and the WTO: A Pro-active Agenda (Oxford, UK: Blackwell Publ.,
2005); Merlinda D. Ingco, John D. Nash, Agriculture and the WTO: Creating
a Trading System for Development (New York: World Bank Publ.,
2004); Commonwealth Secretariat, Developing Countries WTO: A Compelling
Case for Full Participation in the New Round (Commonwealth Secretariat,
2002); Giovanni Anania, Agricultural Trade Conflicts
and GATT: New Dimensions in U.S.-European Agricultural Trade Relations
(Boulder, Co: Westview Press,
1994).
[123] This
is the optimistic sentiment of the High Commission for Human Rights.
See Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OCHCR),
Liberalization of Trade in Services and Human Rights – Report of the High
Commissioner, E/CN.4/Sub.2/2002/9, at www.unhchr.ch/huridocda/huridoca.nsf/(Symbol)/E.CN.4.Sub.2.2002.9.En?Opendocument
(2002);
OHCHR, Human Rights and Trade , Paper prepared for the WTO
Ministerial Conference in Cancún (2002), at www.unhchr.ch/html/menu2/trade/index.htm.
[124] See
e.g. Louis-Pascal Mahe, “Environment and Quality Standards in
the WTO: New Protectionism in Agricultural Trade? A European Perspective,”
24 European
Rev. Agric. Econ. 480 (1997); K Bagwell & RW Staiger, “The WTO as a
Mechanism for Securing Market Access Property Rights: Implications for Global
Labor and Environmental Issues”, J. Econ. Perspectives (May 2001), at
http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&lr=lang_en&q=cache:7ilj73MruewJ:www.ssc.wisc.edu/~rstaiger/jep-standards05072001.pdf+
[125]
See César Calderón, Alberto Chong & Ernesto Stein,
“Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Synchronization: Are Developing
Countries Any Different?”, 71(1) J.
Int. Econ. 2-21 (2007). The authors find that differences in the
responsiveness of cycle synchronization to trade integration between industrial
and developing countries are explained by differences in the patterns of
specialization and bilateral
trade.
[126]
See e.g. Kala Krishna & Cemile Yavas, “When
Trade Hurts: Consumption Indivisibilities and Labor Market Distortions”,
67(2) J. Int. Econ.413-427
(2005). On the complex apparatus involved in
resolving disputes under the WTO, see World Trade Organization, World
Trade Organization Secretariat, World Trade Organization Legal Affairs Division,
A Handbook on the WTO Dispute Settlement System (Cambridge
Un. Press, 2004); World Trade Organization, World Trade Organization
Secretariat; The WTO Dispute Settlement Procedures: a Collection of the
Relevant Legal Texts (Cambridge Un. Press, 2001); Robert Z.
Lawrence, Crimes & Punishments?; Retaliation Under the
WTO (Institute for International Economics,
2003).
[127]On
this aspiration, see e.g. Deniel Griswald, supra note
75.
[128] Jeffrey
J. Schott (2004), "Free Trade Agreements: US Strategy and Priorities,"
unpublished manuscript, Institute for International
Economics, Washington, D.C.,
cited in Vinod K. Aggarwal “Bilateral Trade Arrangements in the
Asia-Pacific: Origins, Evolution,
and Implications” at http://www.cgp.org/index.php?option=article&task=default&articleid=211.
Scott holds that bilateralism carries not only benefits in fostering trade, they
also help member countries to reform their legal
systems to promote economic
development.
[129]
See generally “Why Asia must opt for open
regionalism on trade," The Financial Times, November 3, 2006;
Jagdish Bhagwati, In Defense of Globalization (Oxford Un. Press,
2004); Jagdish Bhagwati et al, The Wind of the 100 Days: How Washington
Mismanaged Globalization (MIT Press, 2001).
[130] This is
certainly the view of bilateral trade skeptics. See e.g. Dani Rodrik,
The Global Governance of Trade as if Development Really Mattered,
New York: UNDP, 2001 at
http://ksghome.harvard.edu/.drodrik.academic.ksg/UNDPtrade.PDF
[131] Part of
the argument against a “corporatized” global order is in the extent
to which corporations selfishly benefit themselves
by exploiting the poor
nations of the world, contribution to mass deprivation rather than benefit.
See e.g. Lori Wallach, Michelle Sforza, The WTO: Five Years of
Reasons to Resist Corporate Globalization, supra note 117.
See generally Giorgio Barba Navaretti & Anthony J. Venables,
Multinational Firms in the World Economy (Princeton NJ: Princeton
University Press,
2004).
[132] In
some measure, the philanthropy of multinational corporations has evolved out of
the pioneering work of leading foundations and
corporations, notably in the
United States. See e.g. “Philanthropy at The Carnegie
Corporation”, at http://www.carnegie.org/sub/philanthropy/vartan2.html
However, philanthropy often is treated as good business practice, indeed as a
measure of attracting and satisfying customer needs
including in developing
countries. See e.g. “Four Problems: One Solution:
Philanthropy”, at http://www.exhibitoronline.com/corpevent/article.asp?ID=1035
[133] On
some of these concerns, see Jagdish Bhagwati (2003), "U.S. House of
Representatives Committee on Financial Services Testimony," Subcommittee on
Domestic and International
Monetary Policy, Trade and Technology, Tuesday, April
1.
[134] See
Roger Normand, “Separate and Unequal: Trade and Human Rights
Regimes”, Background
Paper for the Human Development Report, New York:
UNDP, 2002, at http://hdr.undp.org/publications/papers.cfm.
[135] See
Dani Rodrik, supra note
129.
[136] For an
argument in favor of interaction and coordination between bilateral and
multilateral processes in order to enhance the systematic
development of
international trade policy, see Larry Crump, “Global Trade Policy
Development in a Two-Track System”, 9 J. Int’l. Econ. Law, 487-510
(2006).
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